In: Finance
Year |
Cash flow |
1 |
$28,750 |
2 |
$19,500 |
3 |
$44,100 |
4 |
$27,900 |
5 |
$15,850 |
6 |
$13,050 |
The discount rate is 14.8%. Find the NPV and IRR, what is the decision and what was the criteria for each rule?
UC Inc. has predicted unlevered free cash flows (FCF) of $19,800, $21,540, $25,300, and $28,900 for the next 4 years. Find the average growth rate using the predicted values. Then, assuming the growth rate persists forever at this rate, find the present value of the terminal value. Finally, find the total enterprise value. The discount rate is 18%.
(1): NPV = sum of all present values (PVs). PV = cash flow * PVIF and PVIF = 1/(1+r)^n where r is the interest rate/discount rate and n is the year of the cash flow.
Year | CF | Description | 1+r | PVIF | PV |
- | - 122,400 | Initial investment | 1.148 | 1 | - 122,400.00 |
1 | 28,750 | annual cash flow | 0.8711 | 25,043.55 | |
2 | 19,500 | annual cash flow | 0.7588 | 14,796.22 | |
3 | 44,100 | annual cash flow | 0.6610 | 29,148.28 | |
4 | 27,900 | annual cash flow | 0.5757 | 16,063.37 | |
5 | 15,850 | annual cash flow | 0.5015 | 7,949.13 | |
6 | 13,050 | annual cash flow | 0.4369 | 5,701.11 | |
6 | 63,600 | salvage value | 0.4369 | 27,784.70 | |
NPV | 4,086.37 |
Thus NPV = $4,086.37 (rounded to 2 decimal place).
IRR is the rate which makes the NPV as nil. I have found it using trial and error method.
Year | CF | Description | 1+r | PVIF | PV |
- | - 122,400 | Initial investment | I | 1 | - 122,400.00 |
1 | 28,750 | annual cash flow | 0.8630 | 24,810.87 | |
2 | 19,500 | annual cash flow | 0.7447 | 14,522.55 | |
3 | 44,100 | annual cash flow | 0.6427 | 28,343.35 | |
4 | 27,900 | annual cash flow | 0.5546 | 15,474.65 | |
5 | 15,850 | annual cash flow | 0.4787 | 7,586.65 | |
6 | 13,050 | annual cash flow | 0.4131 | 5,390.58 | |
6 | 63,600 | salvage value | 0.4131 | 26,271.34 | |
NPV | 0 |
Thus IRR = 1.158766 - 1 = 15.88% (rounded to 2 decimal place)
The decision is to accept the project. Criteria for NPV rule is that if NPV > 0 then project is acceptable. Here NPV is + 4086.37 and so the project is acceptable. IRR criteria is that if IRR > minimum required rate of return then the project is acceptable. Here IRR of 15.88% is > discount rate of 14.8% and hence the project is acceptable.