Question

In: Statistics and Probability

Gallup recently conducted a survey about the proportion of Americans who use e-cigarettes (vape). The following...

Gallup recently conducted a survey about the proportion of Americans who use e-cigarettes (vape). The following example is based on hypothetical data that is meant to be similar to the data collected by Gallup.

The following table considers survey data about annual household income and whether or not a person vapes.

<$35,000

$35,000-$99,999

$100,000+

Total

Vape

47

57

19

123

Do Not Vape

381

659

362

1402

Total

428

716

381

1525

Problem 1. Based on recent data, about 28% of Americans earn less than $35,000 annually, about 42% of Americans earn between $35,000 and $99,999 annually, and about 30% of Americans earn more than $100,000. Does it appear that the sample is representative of the population? In other words, does it appear that the total people in each income category matches the appropriate proportion? Conduct a chi-square goodness of fit test at the 5% significance level by completing the following steps:

  1. Compute the test statistic using the observed frequencies from the table and the expected frequencies you computed in part (b).
  2. state the degrees of freedom and find the critical value.
  3. Answer the question: does it appear that the sample is representative of the population? Justify using either the critical value method or p-value method.

Solutions

Expert Solution

1.

Given table data is as below
MATRIX col1 col2 col3 TOTALS
row 1 47 57 19 123
row 2 381 659 362 1402
TOTALS 428 716 381 N = 1525
------------------------------------------------------------------

calculation formula for E table matrix
E-TABLE col1 col2 col3
row 1 row1*col1/N row1*col2/N row1*col3/N
row 2 row2*col1/N row2*col2/N row2*col3/N
------------------------------------------------------------------

expected frequencies calculated by applying E - table matrix formula
E-TABLE col1 col2 col3
row 1 34.521 57.75 30.73
row 2 393.479 658.25 350.27
------------------------------------------------------------------

calculate chisquare test statistic using given observed frequencies, calculated expected frequencies from above
Oi Ei Oi-Ei (Oi-Ei)^2 (Oi-Ei)^2/Ei
47 34.521 12.479 155.725 4.511
57 57.75 -0.75 0.563 0.01
19 30.73 -11.73 137.593 4.477
381 393.479 -12.479 155.725 0.396
659 658.25 0.75 0.563 0.001
362 350.27 11.73 137.593 0.393
ᴪ^2 o = 9.788

------------------------------------------------------------------

set up null vs alternative as
null, Ho: no relation b/w X and Y OR X and Y are independent
alternative, H1: exists a relation b/w X and Y OR X and Y are dependent
level of significance, α = 0.05
from standard normal table, chi square value at right tailed, ᴪ^2 α/2 =5.991
since our test is right tailed,reject Ho when ᴪ^2 o > 5.991
we use test statistic ᴪ^2 o = Σ(Oi-Ei)^2/Ei
from the table , ᴪ^2 o = 9.788
critical value
the value of |ᴪ^2 α| at los 0.05 with d.f (r-1)(c-1)= ( 2 -1 ) * ( 3 - 1 ) = 1 * 2 = 2 is 5.991
we got | ᴪ^2| =9.788 & | ᴪ^2 α | =5.991
make decision
hence value of | ᴪ^2 o | > | ᴪ^2 α| and here we reject Ho
ᴪ^2 p_value =0.007


ANSWERS
---------------
null, Ho: no relation b/w X and Y OR X and Y are independent
alternative, H1: exists a relation b/w X and Y OR X and Y are dependent
a.

test statistic: 9.788
b.

critical value: 5.991
c.

p-value:0.007
decision: reject Ho

we have enough evidence to support the claim that it appear that the sample is representative of the population.


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