In: Statistics and Probability
Topic: Comparing support for including ethnic consideration in college admissions between White and Black Populations.
Data: Whites (659 of 2,997 say Yes, race should be a factor) Blacks (577 of 1,518 say Yes, race should be a factor)
Provide the following:
1. Summary Statistics
2. T-Test (or Confidence Interval)
3. Hypothesis Test
4. Regression
1)
sample #1   ----->  
first sample size,     n1=   2997
number of successes, sample 1 =     x1=  
659
proportion success of sample 1 , p̂1=  
x1/n1=   0.2199
      
sample #2   ----->  
second sample size,     n2 =    1518
number of successes, sample 2 =     x2 =
   577
proportion success of sample 1 , p̂ 2=   x2/n2 =
   0.3801
2) α=0.05
level of significance, α =   0.05  
           
Z critical value =   Z α/2 =   
1.960   [excel function: =normsinv(α/2)  
   
          
       
Std error , SE =    SQRT(p̂1 * (1 - p̂1)/n1 + p̂2 *
(1-p̂2)/n2) =     0.01458  
       
margin of error , E = Z*SE =    1.960  
*   0.0146   =   0.02857
          
       
confidence interval is       
           
lower limit = (p̂1 - p̂2) - E =    -0.160  
-   0.0286   =   -0.1888
upper limit = (p̂1 - p̂2) + E =    -0.160  
+   0.0286   =   -0.1317
          
       
so, confidence interval is (   -0.1888   <
p1 - p2 <   -0.1317  
)  
3)
Ho:   p1 - p2 =   0
Ha:   p1 - p2 ╪   0
difference in sample proportions, p̂1 - p̂2 =    
0.2199   -   0.3801   =  
-0.1602
          
       
pooled proportion , p =   (x1+x2)/(n1+n2)=  
0.2738          
          
       
std error ,SE =    =SQRT(p*(1-p)*(1/n1+
1/n2)=   0.01405      
   
Z-statistic = (p̂1 - p̂2)/SE = (   -0.160  
/   0.0140   ) =   -11.4062
          
       
p-value =        0.0000   [excel
formula =2*NORMSDIST(z)]      
decision :    p-value<α,Reject null hypothesis