In: Finance
Mr Shikongo, a retiree with a farm in dordabis has received N$ 1,000,000 in pensions for his long service as a public servant. he is considering investing in farming but does not want to 'put all eggs in one basket'. Mr shikongo is therefore planning to invest in pig farming, crop farming, and floriculture. likely returns from each investment depend on the state of weather. Namibia's department of Meteorology's weather forecasts for the outlook year are uncertain and are projected as per the table below. The likely returns from each venture, also depending on state of weather, are also given in the table:
State of weather |
probability of state of weather |
pig farming | crop farming | floriculture |
bad | 20% | 2% | -3% | -5% |
good | ?% | 10% | 7% | 11% |
excellent | 30% | 20% | 15% | 25% |
investment (N$) | N$ 300,000 | N$ 250,000 | N$ 450,000 |
Required:
a. calculate the farmer's likely return on the floriculture investment.
b. what is the risk of the pig farming project?
c. what is the farmer's likely combined return if he invests in the three farming activities as shown in the table?
d. what is the risk on the farmer's portfolio?