In: Statistics and Probability
Let x be a random variable that represents white blood cell count per cubic milliliter of whole blood. Assume that x has a distribution that is approximately normal, with mean μ = 6250 and estimated standard deviation σ = 2750. A test result of x < 3500 is an indication of leukopenia. This indicates bone marrow depression that may be the result of a viral infection.
(a) What is the probability that, on a single test, x
is less than 3500? (Round your answer to four decimal
places.)
(b) Suppose a doctor uses the average x for two tests
taken about a week apart. What can we say about the probability
distribution of x?
- The probability distribution of x is approximately
normal with μx = 6250 and
σx = 1944.54.
- The probability distribution of x is approximately
normal with μx = 6250 and
σx = 2750.
- The probability distribution of x is approximately
normal with μx = 6250 and
σx = 1375.00.
- The probability distribution of x is not normal.
What is the probability of x < 3500? (Round your answer
to four decimal places.)
(c) Repeat part (b) for n = 3 tests taken a week apart.
(Round your answer to four decimal places.)
(d) Compare your answers to parts (a), (b), and (c). How did the
probabilities change as n increased?
- The probabilities stayed the same as n
increased.
- The probabilities increased as n increased.
- The probabilities decreased as n increased.
If a person had x < 3500 based on three tests, what
conclusion would you draw as a doctor or a nurse?
- It would be a common event for a person to have two or three
tests below 3,500 purely by chance. The person probably has
leukopenia.
- It would be a common event for a person to have two or three
tests below 3,500 purely by chance. The person probably does not
have leukopenia.
- It would be an extremely rare event for a person to have two or
three tests below 3,500 purely by chance. The person probably does
not have leukopeni.
- It would be an extremely rare event for a person to have two or
three tests below 3,500 purely by chance. The person probably has
leukopenia.
Solution :
Given that ,
mean = = 6250
standard deviation = = 2750
a) P(x < 3500) = P[(x - ) / < (3500 - 6250) / 2750]
= P(z < -1.00)
Using z table,
= 0.1587
b) n = 2
= = 6250
= / n = 2750/ 2 = 1944.54
The probability distribution of x is approximately normal with μx = 6250 and σx = 1944.54
P( < 3500) = P(( - ) / < (3500 - 6250) / 1944.54)
= P(z < -1.41)
Using z table
= 0.0793
c) n = 3
= = 3500
= / n = 2750/ 3 = 1587.71
The probability distribution of x is approximately normal with μx = 6250 and σx = 1587.71
P( < 3500) = P(( - ) / < (3500 - 6250) / 1587.71)
= P(z < -1.73)
Using z table
= 0.0.0418
d) The probabilities decreased as n increased.
It would be an extremely rare event for a person to have two or three tests below 3,500 purely by chance. The person probably has leukopenia.