In: Finance
XYZ company presently pays a dividend of $ 1.50 per share on its
common
stock. The company expects to increase the dividend at a 20% annual
rate the
first four years and at the rate of 13% at the next four years then
the growth on
the dividend at a 7% thereafter. This phased growth patterns is in
keeping with
the expected life cycle of earnings. You are required a 16% return
to invest in
this stock. What value should you place on a share of this
Stock?
$ 31.36
As per dividend discount model, current value per share is the present value of dividends which is calculated as follows: | ||||||
Step-1:Present value of dividend of non-constant growth stage | ||||||
Year | Dividend | Discount factor | Present value | |||
a | b | c=1.16^-a | d=b*c | |||
1 | 1.80 | 0.8621 | 1.55 | |||
2 | 2.16 | 0.7432 | 1.61 | |||
3 | 2.59 | 0.6407 | 1.66 | |||
4 | 3.11 | 0.5523 | 1.72 | |||
5 | 3.51 | 0.4761 | 1.67 | |||
6 | 3.97 | 0.4104 | 1.63 | |||
7 | 4.49 | 0.3538 | 1.59 | |||
8 | 5.07 | 0.3050 | 1.55 | |||
Total | 12.97 | |||||
Working: | ||||||
Dividend of Year: | ||||||
1 | = | 1.50 | * | 1.20 | = | 1.80 |
2 | = | 1.80 | * | 1.20 | = | 2.16 |
3 | = | 2.16 | * | 1.20 | = | 2.59 |
4 | = | 2.59 | * | 1.20 | = | 3.11 |
5 | = | 3.11 | * | 1.13 | = | 3.51 |
6 | = | 3.51 | * | 1.13 | = | 3.97 |
7 | = | 3.97 | * | 1.13 | = | 4.49 |
8 | = | 4.49 | * | 1.13 | = | 5.07 |
Step-2:Present value of dividend of growth stage | ||||||
Present Value | = | D8*(1+g)/(Ke-g)*DF8 | ||||
= | 18.39 | |||||
Where, | ||||||
D8 | = | Year 8 dividend | = | 5.07 | ||
g | = | growth after 8 years | = | 7% | ||
Ke | = | Discount rate | = | 16% | ||
DF8 | = | Discount factor of year 8 | = | 0.3050 | ||
Step-3:Calculation of price of each share | ||||||
Current value of each share | = | Sum of present value of dividends | ||||
= | 12.97 | + | 18.39 | |||
= | 31.36 |