In: Finance
XYZ company presently pays a dividend of $ 1.50 per share on its
common
stock. The company expects to increase the dividend at a 20% annual
rate the
first four years and at the rate of 13% at the next four years then
the growth on
the dividend at a 7% thereafter. This phased growth patterns is in
keeping with
the expected life cycle of earnings. You are required a 16% return
to invest in
this stock. What value should you place on a share of this
Stock?
$ 31.36
| As per dividend discount model, current value per share is the present value of dividends which is calculated as follows: | ||||||
| Step-1:Present value of dividend of non-constant growth stage | ||||||
| Year | Dividend | Discount factor | Present value | |||
| a | b | c=1.16^-a | d=b*c | |||
| 1 | 1.80 | 0.8621 | 1.55 | |||
| 2 | 2.16 | 0.7432 | 1.61 | |||
| 3 | 2.59 | 0.6407 | 1.66 | |||
| 4 | 3.11 | 0.5523 | 1.72 | |||
| 5 | 3.51 | 0.4761 | 1.67 | |||
| 6 | 3.97 | 0.4104 | 1.63 | |||
| 7 | 4.49 | 0.3538 | 1.59 | |||
| 8 | 5.07 | 0.3050 | 1.55 | |||
| Total | 12.97 | |||||
| Working: | ||||||
| Dividend of Year: | ||||||
| 1 | = | 1.50 | * | 1.20 | = | 1.80 | 
| 2 | = | 1.80 | * | 1.20 | = | 2.16 | 
| 3 | = | 2.16 | * | 1.20 | = | 2.59 | 
| 4 | = | 2.59 | * | 1.20 | = | 3.11 | 
| 5 | = | 3.11 | * | 1.13 | = | 3.51 | 
| 6 | = | 3.51 | * | 1.13 | = | 3.97 | 
| 7 | = | 3.97 | * | 1.13 | = | 4.49 | 
| 8 | = | 4.49 | * | 1.13 | = | 5.07 | 
| Step-2:Present value of dividend of growth stage | ||||||
| Present Value | = | D8*(1+g)/(Ke-g)*DF8 | ||||
| = | 18.39 | |||||
| Where, | ||||||
| D8 | = | Year 8 dividend | = | 5.07 | ||
| g | = | growth after 8 years | = | 7% | ||
| Ke | = | Discount rate | = | 16% | ||
| DF8 | = | Discount factor of year 8 | = | 0.3050 | ||
| Step-3:Calculation of price of each share | ||||||
| Current value of each share | = | Sum of present value of dividends | ||||
| = | 12.97 | + | 18.39 | |||
| = | 31.36 |