Question

In: Statistics and Probability

Part 2 Consider the following data set: Republican Democrat Independent Total Supports the death penalty 120...

Part 2
Consider the following data set:

Republican

Democrat

Independent

Total

Supports the death penalty

120

103

18

Opposes the death penalty

70

57

20

Does not know/Not sure

45

24

11

Total

  1. Complete the table.
  2. Calculate the expected frequencies.
  3. Test whether the two variables are associated (dependent). State the hypotheses.
  4. Perform an appropriate test of hypotheses. Report the test statistic, p-value, and make a decision. Copy and paste relevant test results.

(e) Interpret the p-value. Be sure to answer the research question.

Solutions

Expert Solution

(a) The completed is as below

Observed
Republican Democrat Independent Total
Supports 120 103 18 241
Opposes 70 57 20 147
Not Sure 45 24 11 80
Total 235 184 49 468

___________________________________

(b) The Expected value data are in the table below. Each Cell = Row total * Column Total/N. N = 468

The degrees of freedom, df = (r – 1) * (c -1) = (3 - 1) * (3 - 1) = 4

Expected
Republican Democrat Independent Total
Supports 121.015 94.752 25.233 241
Opposes 73.814 57.795 15.391 147
Not Sure 40.171 31.453 8.376 80
Total 235 184 49 468

_______________________________________________________

(c) The Hypothesis:

H0: There is no association between political party and stand on the death penalty. They are independent.

Ha: There is a relation between political party and stand on the death penalty. They are dependent.

______________________________

(d) The Test Statistic: The table below gives the calculation of .

# Observed Expected (O-E) (O-E)2 (O-E)2/E
1 120 121.015 -1.015 1.030225 0.0085
2 70 73.814 -3.8141 14.54736 0.1971
3 45 40.171 4.8291 23.32021 0.5805
4 103 94.752 8.2479 68.02785 0.7180
5 57 57.795 -0.7949 0.631866 0.0109
6 24 31.453 -7.453 55.54721 1.7660
7 18 25.233 -7.2329 52.31484 2.0733
8 20 15.391 4.609 21.24288 1.3802
9 11 8.376 2.6239 6.884851 0.8220
Total 7.557

test = 7.56

The p value: The p value at test = 7.56, df = 3; P value = 0.1091

The Decision Rule: If p value is < 0.05 (the default level), Then Reject H0.

The Decision: Since p value is > 0.05, Fail to Reject H0.

_______________________

(e) The probability of finding a test statistic as great as or greater than 7.56 Assuming that the null hypothesis is true is 0.1091, which is very high and therefore we fail to reject the null hypothesis.

There isn't sufficient evidence at the 95% level of significance to warrant rejection of the claim that there is a relation between political party and stand on the death penalty.

__________________________


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