In: Statistics and Probability
Three-circle, red-on-white is one distinctive pattern painted on ceramic vessels of the Anasazi period found at an archaeological site. At one excavation, a sample of 169 potsherds indicated that 66 were of the three-circle, red-on-white pattern.
(a) Find a point estimate p̂ for the proportion of all
ceramic potsherds at this site that are of the three-circle,
red-on-white pattern. (Round your answer to four decimal
places.)
(b) Compute a 95% confidence interval for the population proportion
p of all ceramic potsherds with this distinctive pattern
found at the site. (Round your answers to three decimal
places.)
lower limit | |
upper limit |
Solution : -
Given that,
n = 169
x = 66
Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 66 / 169 = 0.3905
1 - = 1 - 0.391 = 0.6095
At 95% confidence level
= 1 - 95%
=1 - 0.95 =0.05
/2
= 0.025
Z/2
= Z0.025 = 1.960
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.96 (((0.3905* 0.6095 ) / 169 )
= 0.074
A 95% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p < + E
0.3905 - 0.074 < p < 0.3905 + 0.074
0.3165 < p < 0.4645
( 0.317 , 0.465 )
A 95% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
Lower limit = 0.317
Upper limit = 0.465