In: Economics
This exercise deals with the difference between nominal and real GDP, and also explores the characteristics of the components of GDP over time.
Instructions- Go to BEA.gov and in the U.S. Economic Accounts find Table 1.1.5 (nominal GDP) and Table 1.1.6 (real GDP) and download them for the period 1960 to the latest available year in annual frequency (yearly).
In Excel plot line 1 of both tables within a single graph. Where do they cross? Explain what is the relationship between real and nominal GDP before and after the crossing point? Why? (25 points)
In Excel, using the formula “=ln( )” take the natural log of real GDP (line 1) and plot the change in GDP from one year to the next measured by ln(GDP(t)) - ln(GDP(t-1)). (If you multiply by 100, it will be a Belpercentage.) (25 points)
In Excel using nominal GDP (table 1.1.5) calculate and plot the GDP shares of Consumption (line 2), Investment (line 7), Government (line 22), and Net Exports (line 15). For example, the consumption share is C/Y or line 2 / line 1. (25 points)
Explain the relationship between national saving and net exports. (25 points)
(The chart is posted under Principal Federal Economic Indicators-GDP-Interactive data on bea.gov home page)
The nominal GDP is the value of goods and services produced within an economy in a country during a particular period of time. The real GDP is nominal GDP adjusted for a common price level.
Figure 1
The real and nominal GDP crosses each other at the base year. because real GDP is expressed in base year price, the real GDP is equal to nominal GDP at the base year. In this case, the real GP is calculated in chained 2012 prices, then the real GDP crosses nominal GDP at the year 2012.
The nominal GDP is lower than real GDP before 2012 and it is higher after 2012. This is because, as inflation is positive mainly, year after year the price rises from one year to another. Therefore, when nominal GDP is adjusted to base year prices, it increases prior to 2012, because 2012 has higher prices than 1960 to 2011. The opposite is true for the years after 2012. As price continues to rise, the nominal GDP when adjusted for higher prices rose above real GDP after 2012.
Figure 2
Table 3
Year | C/Y | I/Y | NX/Y | G/Y |
1960 | 0.610619 | 0.159476 | 0.007743 | 0.222161 |
1961 | 0.607435 | 0.154038 | 0.008716 | 0.229811 |
1962 | 0.600431 | 0.160623 | 0.006789 | 0.232323 |
1963 | 0.599216 | 0.162039 | 0.007686 | 0.230902 |
1964 | 0.599854 | 0.163915 | 0.01008 | 0.22615 |
1965 | 0.596794 | 0.174592 | 0.007544 | 0.22107 |
1966 | 0.589993 | 0.177281 | 0.004795 | 0.227932 |
1967 | 0.589186 | 0.16593 | 0.004186 | 0.240698 |
1968 | 0.592006 | 0.166791 | 0.001488 | 0.239715 |
1969 | 0.59316 | 0.170597 | 0.001376 | 0.234866 |
1970 | 0.602534 | 0.15839 | 0.003634 | 0.235349 |
1971 | 0.600824 | 0.168942 | 0.000515 | 0.229633 |
1972 | 0.600579 | 0.178329 | -0.00266 | 0.223751 |
1973 | 0.596043 | 0.187246 | 0.002876 | 0.213835 |
1974 | 0.601993 | 0.177647 | -0.00052 | 0.220942 |
1975 | 0.611609 | 0.152709 | 0.009496 | 0.226186 |
1976 | 0.612629 | 0.172521 | -0.00085 | 0.215757 |
1977 | 0.61197 | 0.190508 | -0.0111 | 0.208618 |
1978 | 0.604822 | 0.203436 | -0.0108 | 0.202543 |
1979 | 0.603433 | 0.20542 | -0.00856 | 0.199749 |
1980 | 0.612711 | 0.185525 | -0.00458 | 0.206349 |
1981 | 0.603056 | 0.196819 | -0.0039 | 0.204054 |
1982 | 0.619445 | 0.173754 | -0.00598 | 0.212782 |
1983 | 0.627848 | 0.175427 | -0.0142 | 0.210952 |
1984 | 0.617273 | 0.203116 | -0.02544 | 0.205048 |
1985 | 0.625213 | 0.191219 | -0.02627 | 0.209841 |
1986 | 0.630252 | 0.185409 | -0.0288 | 0.213141 |
1987 | 0.633609 | 0.183762 | -0.02982 | 0.212453 |
1988 | 0.635933 | 0.17894 | -0.02089 | 0.206038 |
1989 | 0.634005 | 0.177202 | -0.01537 | 0.20418 |
1990 | 0.638762 | 0.166591 | -0.01306 | 0.207711 |
1991 | 0.64036 | 0.153343 | -0.00464 | 0.210942 |
1992 | 0.643774 | 0.155361 | -0.00532 | 0.206202 |
1993 | 0.649112 | 0.161374 | -0.00951 | 0.199006 |
1994 | 0.647848 | 0.172426 | -0.01269 | 0.192433 |
1995 | 0.64958 | 0.172454 | -0.01175 | 0.189719 |
1996 | 0.649639 | 0.177392 | -0.01194 | 0.18491 |
1997 | 0.645495 | 0.186019 | -0.01189 | 0.180365 |
1998 | 0.648497 | 0.19163 | -0.01795 | 0.177826 |
1999 | 0.651988 | 0.195946 | -0.02656 | 0.178637 |
2000 | 0.659569 | 0.198824 | -0.03659 | 0.178184 |
2001 | 0.667712 | 0.182842 | -0.03477 | 0.184213 |
2002 | 0.6714 | 0.176511 | -0.0389 | 0.190986 |
2003 | 0.674024 | 0.176913 | -0.04391 | 0.19298 |
2004 | 0.672417 | 0.186782 | -0.05069 | 0.191498 |
2005 | 0.670965 | 0.19443 | -0.05532 | 0.189927 |
2006 | 0.670327 | 0.195518 | -0.0558 | 0.189958 |
2007 | 0.671635 | 0.184958 | -0.04971 | 0.19311 |
2008 | 0.678069 | 0.168398 | -0.04915 | 0.202681 |
2009 | 0.681173 | 0.133553 | -0.02744 | 0.212715 |
2010 | 0.679411 | 0.144443 | -0.03428 | 0.210417 |
2011 | 0.684641 | 0.150078 | -0.03728 | 0.202566 |
2012 | 0.679558 | 0.161869 | -0.03511 | 0.193678 |
2013 | 0.674249 | 0.168366 | -0.02924 | 0.18662 |
2014 | 0.67482 | 0.173436 | -0.02901 | 0.180747 |
2015 | 0.674806 | 0.176297 | -0.02862 | 0.177515 |
2016 | 0.682459 | 0.169448 | -0.02783 | 0.175922 |
2017 | 0.683661 | 0.172847 | -0.02968 | 0.173176 |
2018 | 0.680546 | 0.178151 | -0.03052 | 0.171824 |
Figure 3
The national savings of the economy is the sum of private and public savings. This is given as