In: Finance
Solve these questions with formula (answer quantitatively) :
a.. Chris Rogers forecasted that Android Inc shall pay its first
dividend 2 years from now worth $1.5. For the year after that, it
has been forecasted that a dividend of $2.2 shall be paid. This
will grow a constant growth rate of 5%. The Risk free rate is 4%,
market risk premium is 6% and beta is 1.2 . What is the value of
the share of Android?
b. Heather Callaway, CFA, is concerned about the accuracy of her
valuation of Crimson Gate, a fast growing telecommunications
equipment company that her firm rates as a top buy. Crimson
currently trades at $134 per share, and Callaway has put together
the following information of the stock :
Most recent dividend per share = $0.55
Growth rate, next 2 years = 30%
Growth rate , after 2 years = 12%
Trailing P/E = 25.6
Financial leverage = 3.4
Sales = $1198 per share
Asset turnover = 11.2
Estimated market rate of return = 13.2%
Callaway's employer, Bates Investment, likes to use a company's
sustainable growth rate as a key input to obtaining the required
rate of return for the company's stock. Crim son's sustainable
growth rate is ?
a). Cost of equity k (using CAPM) = risk-free rate + (beta*market risk premium) = 4% + (1.2*6%) = 11.20%
Value per share can now be found using the dividend growth model, as follows:
Formula | Year (n) | 1 | 2 | 3 | Perpetuity |
Growth rate (g) | 5% | ||||
Dividend (D) | - | 1.50 | 2.20 | 2.31 | |
Dperpetuity/(k-g) | Perpetuity cash flow | 37.26 | |||
Total cash flow (CF) | - | 1.50 | 2.20 | 37.26 | |
1/(1+k)^n | Discount factor @ 11.20% | 0.899 | 0.809 | 0.727 | 0.727 |
(CF*Discount factor) | PV of CF | - | 1.213 | 1.600 | 27.096 |
Sum of all PVs | Value per share | 29.909 |
b). Sustainable Growth Rate (SGR) = retention ratio * ROE
P/E = 25.6 and P =134 so E = 134/25.6 = 5.23
Retention ratio = (Earnings -dividend)/Earnings = (5.23-0.55)/5.23 = 0.89 or 89%
ROE = profit margin*asset turnover*financial leverage ratio
= (5.23/11.98)*11.2*3.4 = 16.62%
SGR = 89%*16.62% = 14.8%