In: Statistics and Probability
Many utility companies promote energy conservation by offering discount rates to con-sumers who keep their energy usage below certain established subsidy standards. Arecent report notes that 70% of the people live in Phnom Penh have reduced their elec-tricity usage sufficiently to qualify for discounted rates. If five residential subscribers are randomly selected from Phnom Penh, find the probability of each of the following events:
(a) All five qualify for the favorable rates.
(b) At least four qualify for the favorable rates.
(c) At least two do not qualify the favorable rates.
Solution
(a) All five qualify for the favorable rates.
Let X be the number of residential subsriber who qualify for thhe favorable rates :
\( P(qualify)=0.7,\hspace{2mm} \) Then \( \hspace{2mm} X\sim Bin(5,0.7) \)
\( \implies P(X=5)=(0.7)^5=0.16807 \)
Therefore. \( P(X=5)=0.16807 \)
(b) At least four qualify for the favorable rates.
\( \implies P(X\geq 4)=P(X=4)+P(X=5) \)
\( =5\times (0.7)^4\times (0.3)+16807 \)
\( =0.52822 \)
Therefore. \( P(X\geq 4)=0.52822 \)
(c) At least two do not qualify the favorable rates.
\( \implies P(5-X\geq 2)=P(X\leq 3)=P(0)+P(1)+P(2)+P(3) \)
\( =0.78048 \)
Therefore. \( P(X\leq 3)=0.78048 \)
Therefore.
a). \( P(X=5)=0.16807 \)
b). \( P(X\geq 4)=0.52822 \)
c). \( P(X\leq 3)=0.78048 \)