In: Statistics and Probability
A problem in a test given to small children asks them to match each of three pictures of animals to the word identifying that animal. If a child assigns the three words at random to the three pictures ,Find the probability distribution for Y , the number of correct matches.
Solution
Find the probability distribution for Y
Y: The number of correct matches: Y=0,1,3 Y=0,1,3 Y=0,1,3
Let C: Correct, I : Incorrect
⊕Y=0:{(III)} \oplus\hspace{2mm} Y=0 : \Big\{(III)\Big\} ⊕Y=0:{(III)}
⟹ P(Y=0)=23×12=13 \implies P(Y=0)=\frac{2}{3}\times \frac{1}{2}=\frac{1}{3} ⟹P(Y=0)=32×21=31
⊕Y=1:{(CII),(ICI),(ICI)} \oplus\hspace{2mm} Y=1 : \Big\{(CII),(ICI),(ICI)\Big\} ⊕Y=1:{(CII),(ICI),(ICI)}
⟹ P(Y=1)=3×13×12=12 \implies P(Y=1)=3\times\frac{1}{3}\times \frac{1}{2}=\frac{1}{2} ⟹P(Y=1)=3×31×21=21
⊕Y=3:{(CCC)} \oplus\hspace{2mm} Y=3 : \Big\{(CCC)\Big\} ⊕Y=3:{(CCC)}
⟹ P(Y=3)=13×12=16 \implies P(Y=3)=\frac{1}{3}\times\frac{1}{2}=\frac{1}{6} ⟹P(Y=3)=31×21=61
Therefore.