Question

In: Statistics and Probability

You plan to invest​ $1,000 in a corporate bond fund or in a common stock fund....

You plan to invest​ $1,000 in a corporate bond fund or in a common stock fund. The table presents the annual return​ (per $1,000) of each of these investments under different economic conditions and the probability that each of these economic conditions will occur. Complete parts​ (a) through​ (d) below.

Probability   Economic_Condition   Corporate_Bond_Fund   Common_Stock_Fund
0.01   Extreme_recession   -200   -980
0.09   Recession   -70   -300
0.15   Stagnation   30   -100
0.35   Slow_growth   80   130
0.30   Moderate_growth   110   150
0.10   High_growth   120   350

Calculate the expected return for the corporate bond fund and for the common stock fund.

The expected return for the corporate bond fund is

​$nothing.

​(Round to the nearest cent as​ needed.)

The expected return for the common stock fund is

​$nothing.

​(Round to the nearest cent as​ needed.)

b. Calculate the standard deviation for the corporate bond fund and for the common stock fund.

The standard deviation for the corporate bond fund is

​$nothing.

​(Round to the nearest cent as​ needed.)

The standard deviation for the common stock fund is

​$nothing.

​(Round to the nearest cent as​ needed.)

c. Would you invest in the corporate bond fund or the common stock​ fund? Explain.

Based on the expected​ value, the

common stock

corporate bond

fund should be chosen. Since the standard deviation for the common stock fund is

significantly greater than

less than half as much as

about the same as

that for the corporate bond​ fund, the common stock fund

is safer than

has the same risk as

is riskier than

the corporate bond fund and an investor

doesn't need to consider

should carefully weigh

the risk when making a decision.

d. If an investor chooses to invest in the common stock fund in​ (c), what should the investor think about the possibility of losing

​$980980

of every​ $1,000 invested if there is an extreme​ recession?

A.

The investor would need to assess on how to respond to the small possibility that about​ 10% of the investment could be lost.

B.

The investor would need to assess on how to respond to the almost certainty that about​ 10% of the investment could be lost.

C.

The investor would need to assess on how to respond to the small possibility that almost all of the investment could be lost.

D.

The investor would need to assess on how to respond to the almost certainty that almost all of the investment could be lost.

Solutions

Expert Solution

x y f(x,y) x*f(x,y) y*f(x,y) x^2f(x,y) y^2f(x,y)
-200 -980 0.0100 -2.0000 -9.8000 400.0000 9604.0000
-70 -300 0.0900 -6.3000 -27.0000 441.0000 8100.0000
30 -100 0.1500 4.5000 -15.0000 135.0000 1500.0000
80 130 0.3500 28.0000 45.5000 2240.0000 5915.0000
110 150 0.3000 33.0000 45.0000 3630.0000 6750.0000
120 350 0.1000 12.0000 35.0000 1440.0000 12250.0000
Total 1 69.2000 73.7000 8286.0000 44119.0000
E(X)=ΣxP(x,y)= 69.2000
E(X2)=Σx2P(x,y)= 8286.0000
E(Y)=ΣyP(x,y)= 73.7000
E(Y2)=Σy2P(x,y)= 44119.0000
Var(X)=E(X2)-(E(X))2= 3497.3600
Var(Y)=E(Y2)-(E(Y))2= 38687.3100

a)

expected return for the corporate bond fund =69.20

expected return for the common stock fund =73.70

b)

standard deviation for the corporate bond fund =59.14

standard deviation for the common stock fund =196.69

c)

Based on the expected​ value, the common stock fund should be chosen. Since the standard deviation for the common stock fund is significantly greater than that for the corporate bond​ fund, the common stock fund is riskier than the corporate bond fund and an investor should carefully weigh

the risk when making a decision.

d)

c)The investor would need to assess on how to respond to the small possibility that almost all of the investment could be lost.


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