In: Statistics and Probability
You plan to invest $1,000 in a corporate bond fund or in a common stock fund. The table presents the annual return (per $1,000) of each of these investments under different economic conditions and the probability that each of these economic conditions will occur. Complete parts (a) through (d) below.
Probability Economic_Condition
Corporate_Bond_Fund Common_Stock_Fund
0.01 Extreme_recession -200
-980
0.09 Recession -70 -300
0.15 Stagnation 30 -100
0.35 Slow_growth 80 130
0.30 Moderate_growth 110
150
0.10 High_growth 120 350
Calculate the expected return for the corporate bond fund and for the common stock fund.
The expected return for the corporate bond fund is
$nothing.
(Round to the nearest cent as needed.)
The expected return for the common stock fund is
$nothing.
(Round to the nearest cent as needed.)
b. Calculate the standard deviation for the corporate bond fund and for the common stock fund.
The standard deviation for the corporate bond fund is
$nothing.
(Round to the nearest cent as needed.)
The standard deviation for the common stock fund is
$nothing.
(Round to the nearest cent as needed.)
c. Would you invest in the corporate bond fund or the common stock fund? Explain.
Based on the expected value, the
▼
common stock
corporate bond
fund should be chosen. Since the standard deviation for the common stock fund is
▼
significantly greater than
less than half as much as
about the same as
that for the corporate bond fund, the common stock fund
▼
is safer than
has the same risk as
is riskier than
the corporate bond fund and an investor
▼
doesn't need to consider
should carefully weigh
the risk when making a decision.
d. If an investor chooses to invest in the common stock fund in (c), what should the investor think about the possibility of losing
$980980
of every $1,000 invested if there is an extreme recession?
A.
The investor would need to assess on how to respond to the small possibility that about 10% of the investment could be lost.
B.
The investor would need to assess on how to respond to the almost certainty that about 10% of the investment could be lost.
C.
The investor would need to assess on how to respond to the small possibility that almost all of the investment could be lost.
D.
The investor would need to assess on how to respond to the almost certainty that almost all of the investment could be lost.
x | y | f(x,y) | x*f(x,y) | y*f(x,y) | x^2f(x,y) | y^2f(x,y) |
-200 | -980 | 0.0100 | -2.0000 | -9.8000 | 400.0000 | 9604.0000 |
-70 | -300 | 0.0900 | -6.3000 | -27.0000 | 441.0000 | 8100.0000 |
30 | -100 | 0.1500 | 4.5000 | -15.0000 | 135.0000 | 1500.0000 |
80 | 130 | 0.3500 | 28.0000 | 45.5000 | 2240.0000 | 5915.0000 |
110 | 150 | 0.3000 | 33.0000 | 45.0000 | 3630.0000 | 6750.0000 |
120 | 350 | 0.1000 | 12.0000 | 35.0000 | 1440.0000 | 12250.0000 |
Total | 1 | 69.2000 | 73.7000 | 8286.0000 | 44119.0000 | |
E(X)=ΣxP(x,y)= | 69.2000 | |||||
E(X2)=Σx2P(x,y)= | 8286.0000 | |||||
E(Y)=ΣyP(x,y)= | 73.7000 | |||||
E(Y2)=Σy2P(x,y)= | 44119.0000 | |||||
Var(X)=E(X2)-(E(X))2= | 3497.3600 | |||||
Var(Y)=E(Y2)-(E(Y))2= | 38687.3100 |
a)
expected return for the corporate bond fund =69.20
expected return for the common stock fund =73.70
b)
standard deviation for the corporate bond fund =59.14
standard deviation for the common stock fund =196.69
c)
Based on the expected value, the common stock fund should be chosen. Since the standard deviation for the common stock fund is significantly greater than that for the corporate bond fund, the common stock fund is riskier than the corporate bond fund and an investor should carefully weigh
the risk when making a decision.
d)
c)The investor would need to assess on how to respond to the small possibility that almost all of the investment could be lost.