About 1 in a million airliner flights crash. You're flying on anairliner and the right...

About 1 in a million airliner flights crash. You're flying on an airliner and the right engine suddenly catches fire. While everyone else is panicking, you turn on your cell phone (never mind airplane mode-- this is an emergency!) and do a quick check of the statistics.

You discover that, 1 in 100 crashes involve an engine catching fire, but an engine only catches fire in 1 in 100,000 flights that don't crash. So the probability that an engine would catch fire if you were going to crash is 1/100, but the probability that an engine would catch fire if you were not going to crash is only 1/100,000!

What is the strength factor of the evidence that the engine caught fire, in favor of the claim that you're going to crash?

a. 10

b. 1000

c. 1/100

d. 100

Expert Solution

strength factor of the evidence that event A occurs, in favor of the claim that event B occurs

= P(event A | event B) / P(event A | event B not occuring)

strength factor of the evidence that the engine caught fire, in favor of the claim that you're going to crash

= ( probability that an engine would catch fire if you were going to crash) / ( probability that an engine would catch fire if you were not going to crash )

= (1/100)/(1/100000)

= 1000

Answer option b : 1000

orchestra answered 2 years ago

One in a million airliner flights crash. You’re flying on an airliner and an engine suddenly...

One in a million airliner flights crash. You’re flying on an airliner and an engine suddenly catches fire. While everyone else is panicking, you turn on your cell phone (you figure you might as well do it at this point) and do a quick check of the statistics. You discover that, 1 in 100 crashes involve an engine catching fire, but an engine only catches fire in 1 in 100,000 flights that don’t crash. What are the odds that your...

1. A commercial airliner is flying at 450 mph, 20° east of north, relative to the...

1. A commercial airliner is flying at 450 mph, 20° east of north, relative to the surrounding air. The surrounding air though is blowing at 90 mph, 40° south of east, relative to the ground. The relative humidity of the air is 70%. How fast is the airliner flying relative to the ground, and in what direction? 2. Kenny and Cartman are playing paintball blindfolded. They are initially standing back-to-back, facing away from each other. Treat it as if they...

Can the cost of flying a commercial airliner be predicted using regression analysis? If so, what...

Can the cost of flying a commercial airliner be predicted using regression analysis? If so, what variables are related to this cost? A few of many variables that can potentially contribute are type of plane, distance, number of passengers, amount of luggage/freight, weather condition, direction of destination, or even pilot skill. Suppose a study is conducted using only Boeing 737s traveling 800 km on comparable routes during the same season of the year. Can the number of passengers predict the...

On January 1, 2019, Flying Ace Inc. purchases 20% of Red Baron Aviation for $200,000. Flying...

On January 1, 2019, Flying Ace Inc. purchases 20% of Red Baron Aviation for $200,000. Flying Ace can exert significant influence over Red Baron (the investee) therefore it uses the equity method to account for the investment. On the date of acquisition, Red Baron holds net assets with a book value of $700,000. Flying Ace believes that the investee’s building (10-year remaining useful life and no salvage value) is undervalued on Red Baron’s books by $80,000 and equipment (5-year remaining...

Ethics is basically about right and wrong but what is right or wrong is relative to...

Ethics is basically about right and wrong but what is right or wrong is relative to certain principles or theories. Discuss the view that no one theory of Ethics is complete by itself.

Complaints about weekday airline flights not being on time average about 15.17 complaints per month at...

Complaints about weekday airline flights not being on time average about 15.17 complaints per month at airports in small U. S. cities. The local airport is proud to advertise that its average monthly on-time performance is superior to the national monthly average for small city airports. Since June 2003, a random sample of nine months reveals that the number of complaints regarding weekday flights not being on time at the local airport were: 9 10 12 13 14 15 15...

Talk about the six current techniques used by flying solo company. Explain.

Think about the following questions : 1. First, answer Daniels question. Is there a right to...

Think about the following questions : 1. First, answer Daniels question. Is there a right to healthcare and, if so, what does it encompass? Think about it in terms of the limits to the right to healthcare. Should everything be covered? What should or shouldn't be covered by health ihsurance? Do we all have the same right to healthcare ? If not, why not? 2. Is healthcare rationing morally permissible? If so, under what circumstances? If not, what is the...

Overfishing, the crash of the Northern Cod Population example”. Based on this parable, explain about five...

Overfishing, the crash of the Northern Cod Population example”. Based on this parable, explain about five strategies the townspeople (or their government) would have done to prevent the tragedy? Explain about three reasons why some of these strategies might not work properly

Part 1. About 24% of flights departing from New York's John F. Kennedy International Airport were...

Part 1. About 24% of flights departing from New York's John F. Kennedy International Airport were delayed in 2009. Assuming that the chance of a flight being delayed has stayed constant at 24%, we are interested in finding the probability of 10 out of the next 100 departing flights being delayed. Noting that if one flight is delayed, the next flight is more likely to be delayed, which of the following statements is correct? We can use the geometric distribution...

Question