In: Statistics and Probability
The IRS reports that 15% of returns where the adjusted gross income is more than $1,000,000 will be subject to a computer audit. For the year 2017, Fred Friendly, CPA, completed 16 returns where the adjusted gross income was more than $1,000,000.
a. What is the probability exactly one of these returns will be audited?
b. What is the probability at least one will be audited?
The available information shown in below table,
Sample Size | Percentage |
n = 16 | p = 15% = 0.15 |
a)
Calculate the probability that exactly one of these returns will be audited.
= 16 × 0.15 × 0.0874
= 0.2097
Hence, the required probability is, 0.2097.
b)
Calculate the probability that at least one will be audited.
P(X ≥ 1) = 1 – P(X < 1)
= 1 – P(X = 0)
= 1 – (1 × 1 × 0.0743)
= 1 – 0.0743
= 0.9257
Hence, the required probability is, 0.9257.