In: Economics
Anne, who is a Canadian saver, would like to invest
$65,000 dollars (Canadian dollars to be precise). She is
considering two options,
buying a Canadian discount bond or a Russian discount bond, and
Anne would like
you compare returns on both options. The world risk-free rate is
0.25%. There is
no risk premium on the Canadian discount bond, and the risk premium
on the
Russian discount bond is 5%. The current nominal Russian-Canadian
exchange
rate is ecan=56 Rubbles (Rubbles per Canadian dollar). Before the
pay-out next
period, you expect (and of course, Anne agrees with you), Rubbles
will depreciate
relative to Canadian dollar, efuture=60 Rubbles (again, Rubbles per
Canadian
dollar). Based on your forecast, what is the expected rate of
return (% yield) on
each investment. For simplicity, please assume zero transaction
costs and no
difference in taxes (zero taxes on both options). Please note, to
get full points, you
need to show all your steps.
Answer:-
If Anne invests in Canadian discount bond for a year,
She earns associate degree interest of $ 65,000 * 0.25% = $ 162.5
Total expected come back on Canadian discount bond being 0.25%
If Anne invests in Russian discount bond for a year,
First she should convert Canadian dollars into Russian Rubbles
so we've got a bent to induce $ 65,000 * 56 Rubbles per dollar = 3,640,000 Rubbles
The charge per unit Russian discount bond as per CAPM is,
Risk Free Rate + Risk Premium = 0.25% + 5 %= 5.25%
She earns associate degree interest of 3,640,000 Rubbles * 5.25% = 191,100 Rubbles
Investment Totals with interest = 3,640,000 Rubbles + 191,100 Rubbles
= 3,831,100 Rubbles
Converting Rubbles into Canadian $ we've got a bent to induce
3,831,100 Rubbles / 60 Rublles per Canadian $ = $ 63,851.67
Total Loss = $ 65,000 - $ 63,851.67 = $ 1,148.33
Total expected come back on Russian discount bond
being -1.767% (-1148.33/65000*100)
Conclusion :- Canadian Discount Bond may well be a better Investment idea.