In: Finance
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| Calculation of Expected Return: | |||||
| Economy | Probality | Return | Return*Probablity | ||
| Boom | 0.1 | 27% | 2.70% | ||
| Good | 0.2 | 22% | 4.40% | ||
| Ok | 0.3 | 11% | 3.30% | ||
| Level | 0.2 | 5% | 1.00% | ||
| Slump | 0.2 | -31% | -6.20% | ||
| Expected Return: | 5.20% | ||||
| Expected return is 5.200% | |||||
| Calculation of Standard Deviation: | |||||
| Economy | Probality | Return | Deviation from expected return | Deviation squared | Deviation Squared*probablity |
| Boom | 0.1 | 27% | 21.80% | 0.04752 | 0.004752 |
| Good | 0.2 | 22% | 16.80% | 0.02822 | 0.005645 |
| Ok | 0.3 | 11% | 5.80% | 0.00336 | 0.001009 |
| Level | 0.2 | 5% | -0.20% | 0.00000 | 0.000001 |
| Slump | 0.2 | -31% | -36.20% | 0.13104 | 0.026209 |
| Variance | 0.037616 | ||||
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Standard Deviation = Sq Root of Variance Standard Deviation = sqroot( 0.037616) |
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| = 0.193948 | |||||
| 0.19395 is the standard deviation. |