In: Statistics and Probability
The Wind Mountain archaeological site is in southwest New
Mexico. Prehistoric Native Americans called Anasazi once lived and
hunted small game in this region. A stemmed projectile point is an
arrowhead that has a notch on each side of the base. Both stemmed
and stemless projectile points were found at the Wind Mountain
site. A random sample of n1 = 55 stemmed
projectile points showed the mean length to be
x1 = 3.00 cm, with sample standard deviation
s1 = 0.80 cm. Another random sample of
n2 = 41 stemless projectile points showed the
mean length to be x2 = 2.70 cm, with
s2 = 0.90 cm. Do these data indicate a
difference (either way) in the population mean length of the two
types of projectile points? Use a 5% level of significance.
What are we testing in this problem?
difference of meanspaired difference single proportiondifference of proportionssingle mean
What is the level of significance?
State the null and alternate hypotheses.
H0: μ1 = μ2; H1: μ1 ≠ μ2H0: μ1 ≠ μ2; H1: μ1 = μ2 H0: μ1 ≥ μ2; H1: μ1 < μ2H0: μ1 ≤ μ2; H1: μ1 > μ2
What sampling distribution will you use? What assumptions are you
making?
The standard normal. We assume that both population distributions are approximately normal with unknown population standard deviations.The Student's t. We assume that both population distributions are approximately normal with known population standard deviations. The Student's t. We assume that both population distributions are approximately normal with unknown population standard deviations.The standard normal. We assume that both population distributions are approximately normal with known population standard deviations.
What is the value of the sample test statistic? (Test the
difference μ1 − μ2. Round
your answer to three decimal places.)
Estimate the P-value.
P-value > 0.5000.250 < P-value < 0.500 0.100 < P-value < 0.2500.050 < P-value < 0.1000.010 < P-value < 0.050P-value < 0.010
Sketch the sampling distribution and show the area corresponding to
the P-value.
Will you reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis? Are the data
statistically significant at level α?
At the α = 0.05 level, we reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are statistically significant.At the α = 0.05 level, we reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are not statistically significant. At the α = 0.05 level, we fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are statistically significant.At the α = 0.05 level, we fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are not statistically significant.
Interpret your conclusion in the context of the application.
There is sufficient evidence at the 0.05 level to conclude that there is a difference in mean length of the two types of projectile points.There is insufficient evidence at the 0.05 level to conclude that there is a difference in mean length of the two types of projectile points.
What are we testing in this problem?
difference of means
What is the level of significance?
5% or 0.05
State the null and alternate hypotheses.
H0: μ1 = μ2; H1: μ1 ≠ μ2
What sampling distribution will you use? What assumptions are you making?
The Student's t. We assume that both population distributions are approximately normal with unknown population standard deviations.
What is the value of the sample test statistic?
n1 = 55 , = 3.00 , s1 = 0.80
n2 = 41 , = 2.70 , s2 = 0.90
1 = 2 = [Equal variance]
N( 1 , ^2 / 55)
N( 2 , ^2 / 41)
( - ) N( 1 - 2 , ^2 / 55 + ^2 / 41)
population standard deviation is estimated by pooled standard deviation.
= Sp = pooled standard deviation
Pooled variance,
Sp2 = ( (n1-1) S1 2 + (n2-1) S2 2 ) / (n1+n2-2)
=( 54* .8*.8 + 40 *.9 * .9 ) / 94
= .7123
Sp = .844
So, ( ( - ) - ( 1 - 2 ) ) / Sp t n1+n2 -2
This is two smaple two tail t test.
Test statistic , t = ( - ) / Sp = ( 3- 2.7) / .844 = 1.722 (sample statistic)
Estimate the P-value.
t /2=0.025 , 94 = 1.984
t /2=0.05 , 94 = 1.660
our test staistic lie in between these 2 value , so 0.050 < P-value < 0.1000
Sketch the sampling distribution and show the area corresponding to the P-value.
Will you reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis? Are the data statistically significant at level α?
Since p value is grater than 0.05 , At the α = 0.05 level, we fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are not statistically significant. (last option).
Interpret your conclusion in the context of the application.
There is insufficient evidence at the 0.05 level to conclude that there is a difference in mean length of the two types of projectile points.
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