Question

In: Statistics and Probability

The following information is taken from the 2019 Traffic Safety Report for Jefferson county. It looks...

The following information is taken from the 2019 Traffic Safety Report for Jefferson county. It looks at all collisions with animals and splits them up into two categories: collisions with domestic animals and collisions with wild animals.

Year Domestic Animal Wild Animal Total
2015 4 28 32
2016 6 29 35
Total 10 58 67



Your friend says they got in a crash with an animal and they are about to tell you a story. Match each phrase to it's probability notation:
a. The probability of the animal being wild, given that it is 2015.  --- wild|2015 P(wild|2015) P(wild) 2015 P(2015|wild)
b. The probability that the collision was in 2015.  --- P(wild) P(2015) P(2015|collision) 2015 wild|2015

Find the following probabilities. Enter your answers with at least 2 decimal places

c. P(Domestic|2016) =
d. P(Wild)=

Solutions

Expert Solution

Explanation:-

Given data

year Domestic animal wild animal total
2015 4 28 32
2016 6 29 35
total 10 57 67

a) The relative frequencies of above table

year Domestic animal wild animal total
2015 0.48
2016 0.52
total 0.15 0.85 1

The sum of conditional probabilities is equal to one

P(2015) = P(domestic or 2015) +P(wild or 2015) = 0.06+0.42 =0.48

P(2016) = P(domestic or 2016) +P(wild or 2016) = 0.09+0.43 =0.52

c)

year Domestic animal wild animal total
2015 0.48
2016 0.52
total 0.15 0.85 1

a)

b)

year Domestic animal wild animal total
2015 0.48
2016 0.52
total 0.15 0.85 1

c)

The probability of domestic animal

= P( domestic and 2015) or P(domestic and 2016)

= 0.06 + 0.09 =0.15

The probability of wild animal

= P( wild and 2015) or P(wild and 2016)

= 0.42 + 0.43 =0.85


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