In: Economics
Analyse the Case
Shanghai is China’s financial and business hub. In late July 2004,
with daytime temperatures reaching 37 degrees Celsius, the city’s
electricity consumption surged to a weekly record of 14.35 million
kilowatt hours. The city authorities resorted to asking 2,100
businesses to operate at night, and a further 3,000 others to
adjust operating hours.
The Chinese government has certainly been working tirelessly to
resolve the power crisis. Thermal coal is the principal fuel used
to generate electric power in China. In July, Premier Wen Jiabao
exhorted, “Railway departments should do their utmost for the
transport of coal for electricity generation”. The Ministry of
Railways increased train speed and freight loads, and allocated 90%
of freight capacity to transport key materials. In the first half
of 2004, Chinese railways shipped 480 million tons of coal, up
12.2% over the same period last year.
The Ministry of Communications has also pitched in. It diverted
ships from overseas routes to domestic coal transport and approved
emergency coal transportation on various roads and waterways. China
is the world’s second-biggest coal exporter. In 2003, China
exported 93 million tons of coal, including 80.8 million tons of
thermal coal. To assure supplies to the electric power industry,
the Chinese government has limited coal exports to 80 million tons
in 2004. China Coal Import & Export Vice President Zhou
Dongzhou predicted that exports of thermal coal would fall to 70
million tons.
In the late 1990s, the Chinese government dissolved the Ministry of
Electric Power, and divided its functions between the State
Electricity Regulatory Commission (SERC) and the State Power
Corporation of China. The State Power Corporation owns five of the
six transmission grids (Northwest, North, Northeast, Central, and
East) and about half of the national generating capacity.
Regulation is necessary to ensure that the State Power Corporation
does not abuse its monopoly power.
The SERC regulates all aspects of the electricity industry, except
pricing. With regard to electricity pricing, the SERC’s role is to
advise the National Development Reform Commission (NDRC).
Some estimate that the nationwide power shortage will soon reach 30
million kilowatts, which is more than double Shanghai’s peak
consumption.
With China headed for a power crisis, the government is under
pressure to increase electricity prices. In June 2004, following
persistent rises in the cost of fuel, the NDRC increased
electricity prices by an average of 2.2 fen per kilowatthour in the
East, North, Central, and South grids. But, apparently, this
increase has not been sufficient. The threat of a power crisis
continues.
Analyze the case and answer the following
questions.
(a). Explain how the impact of a price increase on electricity
consumption depends on the price elasticity of demand. (7.5
Marks)
(b). The price elasticity of the Indian demand for electricity has
been estimated to be -0.65 among residential users and -0.45 among
industrial users. If these elasticity’s apply to China as well, how
will the impact of a price increase be spread between residential
as compared with industrial users? (7.5 Marks)
a- Electricity is a public utility. the utility industry is a natural monopoly. The utility monopolies provide water, sewer services, electricity etc. The electricity supply is one such natural monopoly industry. The country or state provides supply or in some cases outsources to some big private companies. The reason for natural monoploy is high start up cost and entry barriers. The government is the authority to set price according to county regulations. The price elasticity in case of natural monoploy is very low so if the government increase the price for the electricity by some percentage the effect on the demand will be less as cpmpared to the e percentage increase in prices.
B- price elasticity of demand is an economic measure to find the change in the quantity demanded with respect to change in price. the price elasticity varies between perfsectly elastic to non elastic. it depends on degrees of elasticity.the price elasticity of demand ranges from zero to infinity. It can be equal to zero, less than one, greater than one and equal to unity. ed infinity means a small change in demand will fall the demand to zero. while ed =1 means equal proportionate change in quantity demanded to price change. ed=0 means no change in demand to price change. here in this case both Industrial and residential demand elasticity is more than zero but leas than one so there will less proportionate change in demand to change in price. i.e the demand will fall but not equally. also fall is demand will be more for residential buyers as compared to industrial users.