In: Finance
The risk-free rate of return is 6%, the expected rate of return on the market portfolio is 15%, and the stock of Xyrong Corporation has a beta coefficient of 2.3. Xyrong pays out 45% of its earnings in dividends, and the latest earnings announced were $9.00 per share. Dividends were just paid and are expected to be paid annually. You expect that Xyrong will earn an ROE of 18% per year on all reinvested earnings forever.
a. What is the intrinsic value of a share of Xyrong stock? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to 2 decimal places.)
b. If the market price of a share is currently $22, and you expect the market price to be equal to the intrinsic value one year from now, what is your expected 1-year holding-period return on Xyrong stock? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to 2 decimal places.)
Required rate of return is calculated below using CAPM model:
Required rate of return = Risk free rate + (Market return - Risk free rate) × Beta
= 6% + (15% - 6%) × 2.30
= 6% + (9% × 2.30)
= 6% + 20.70%
= 26.70%
Required rate of return is 26.70%.
Current Year earnings = $9
Payout ratio = 45%
Current Year dividend = $9 × 45%
= $4.05
Current year dividend is $4.05.
Retention ratio = 55%
Return on equity =18%
Sustainable growth rate for the firm is calculated below using following formula:
Sustainable growth rate = Retention Ratio × return on equity
= 55% × 18%
= 9.90%
Hence, Sustainable growth rate is 9.90%.
a.
Current Stock price = Current Dividend × (1 + Growth rate) / (Required rate - Growth rate)
= $4.05 × (1 + 9.90%) / (26.70% - 9.90%)
= $4.45 / 16.80%
= $26.49
intrinsic value of a share of Xyrong stock is $26.49.
b.
if current Market price = $22
Stock price after one year = $26.49.
one year holding period = ($26.49 - $22) / $22
= 20.43%
One year holding period is 20.43%.