In: Statistics and Probability
Q.Explain the flaws in the following analysis or
conclusion. (Note that this is not about chi-squared test per se,
perhaps, it is about what a statistical analysis (hypothesis
testing in this case) can tell us and what it
cannot)
Background - The Scholarship Committee comprises 3
faculty members, one of whom is Professor X. Professor X also wrote
recommendation letter for 5 students who took his class earlier and
four of them were awarded scholarships (out of a total of six
scholarships awarded to graduate students). A student who applied
but was not awarded a scholarship accused Professor X of
favoritism, claiming that he/she was denied a scholarship despite
having a very high GPA because he/she did not take class under
Professor X and had declined him/her a recommendation letter. The
student then did following statistical analysis as an evidence of
favoritism .
The student runs a Chisq-test and his result shows not independent
between students who took class under Professor X and Students got
scholarship.
H0: students who get scholarship is independent with whether they have taken class under Professor X
H1: not independent
# Let total number of students who applied for scholarship is 70,
and only 5 people get the scholarship, conservatively estimate
only
3 out of 5 students took Class with ProfessorX, the other two
selected did not take Class with ProfessorX
# chisquare test shows the p-value <0.05, thus we reject H0 at .05 level and conclude students who got scholarship was affected by whether they have class under Professor X
#student in addition tests , how about the total applicants were
60, or 80?
and find out either case we reject H0, they are not
independent.