In: Finance
Without using excel
Quasar Tech Ltd is investing $6 million in new machinery that will produce the next-generation routers. Sales to its customers will amount to $1 750 000 for the next 3 years and then increase to $2.4 million for 3 more years. The project is expected to last 6 years and cost the company annually $898 620 (excluding depreciation). The machinery will be depreciated to zero by year 6 using the straight-line method. The company’s tax rate is 30 per cent, and the cost of capital is 16 per cent.
(a) What is the payback period?
(b) What is the average accounting return (ARR)?
(c) Calculate the project NPV.
(d) What is the IRR for the project?
Answer :-
(a) Pay back period method
This method will tell that investment will be recoverd in how many years.
Year | Sales | Cost | Depreciation (6000000/6) | Earning Before Tax (Sales - Cost - Depreciation | Tax @ 30% (Note) | Earning after Tax | Cash Flow (EAT + Depreciation | Cumulative Cash flows |
1 | 1750000 | 898620 | 1000000 | (148620) | 44586 | (104034) | 895966 | 895966 |
2 | 1750000 | 898620 | 1000000 | (148620) | 44586 | (104034) | 895966 | 1791932 |
3 | 1750000 | 898620 | 1000000 | (148620) | 44586 | (104034) | 895966 | 2687898 |
4 | 2400000 | 898620 | 1000000 | 501380 | (150414) | 350966 | 1350966 | 4038864 |
5 | 2400000 | 898620 | 1000000 | 501380 | (150414) | 350966 | 1350966 | 5389830 |
6 | 2400000 | 898620 | 1000000 | 501380 | (150414) | 350966 | 1350966 | 6740796 |
Payback Period = Complete Years + Remaining Cash flow / Cash flow for the year to be recovered
= 5 years +(6000000 - 5389830) / 1350966
= 5 years + 0.45 years
= 5.45 Years
(b) Average Accounting Return (ARR) = Average Earning After tax / Initial investment
= [ (104034) + (104034) + (104034) + 350966 + 350966 + 350966 ] / 6000000
= [ 123466 ] / 6000000
= 0.02058 or 2.058 %
(c) Net Present Value :-
NPV = Present value of cash inflow - Present value of cash outflow
Year | Cash flow | PV factor @ 16% | Discounted cash flow |
1 | 895966 | 0.8621 | 772412.29 |
2 | 895966 | 0.7432 | 665881.93 |
3 | 895966 | 0.6406 | 573955.82 |
4 | 1350966 | 0.5523 | 746138.52 |
5 | 1350966 | 0.4761 | 643194.91 |
6 | 1350966 | 0.4104 | 554436.45 |
Present Value of cash inflow | 3956019.92 |
(-) Present value of cash outflow | 6000000 |
Net Present Value | (2043980.08) |
(d) Internal Rate of return (IRR)
IRR is rate where PV of cash inflow is equal to PV of cash outflow.
IRR is calculated by Hit & Trial Method.
Lets assume two rates @3% & 4% for purpose of calculation of NPV.
NPV @ 3%.
Year | Cash flow | PV factor @ 3% | Discounted cash flow |
1 | 895966 | 0.9709 | 869893.39 |
2 | 895966 | 0.9426 | 844537.55 |
3 | 895966 | 0.9151 | 819898.49 |
4 | 1350966 | 0.8885 | 1200333.29 |
5 | 1350966 | 0.8626 | 1165343.27 |
6 | 1350966 | 0.8375 | 1131434.02 |
Present Value of cash inflow | 6031440.01 |
(-) Present value of cash outflow | 6000000 |
Net Present Value | 31440.01 |
Now, we calculate NPV @ 4%
Year | Cash flow | PV factor @ 4% | Discounted cash flow |
1 | 895966 | 0.9615 | 861471.31 |
2 | 895966 | 0.9245 | 828320.57 |
3 | 895966 | 0.8890 | 796513.77 |
4 | 1350966 | 0.8548 | 1154805.74 |
5 | 1350966 | 0.8219 | 1110358.96 |
6 | 1350966 | 0.7903 | 1067668.43 |
Present Value of cash inflow | 5819138.78 |
(-) Present value of cash outflow | 6000000 |
Net Present Value | (180861.22) |
By Interpolation,
IRR = Lower Rate + Lower Rate NPV /(Lower Rate NPV - Higher Rate NPV) * Difference in Rate
Lower Rate = 3%
Lower Rate NPV = 31440.01
Higher Rate NPV = (180861.22)
Difference in Rate = 1% (4%-3%)
IRR = 3 + 31440.01 /[(31440.01 - (180861.22)]* 1
= 3 + 0.1481
= 3.1481%
Note --> In case of Negative Earning before tax, Tax saving has been taken in same year. Assuming that compnay have other income also to set off these losses.