In: Statistics and Probability
(9 pts) Engineers must consider the breadths of male heads when
designing motorcycle helmets. Men have head breadths that are
normally distributed with a mean of 6.0 in and a standard deviation
of 1.0 in. (The next page has a copy of cdf values for the standard
normal distribution.) a) If one male is randomly selected, find the
probability that his head breadth is less than 6.2 in.
b) Find the probability that 100 randomly selected men have a mean
head breadth that is less than 6.2 in. State any rule/assumption or
result to justify your answer.
c) A production manager for Safeguard Helmet Company plans an
initial run of 100 helmets. Seeing the result from part b), the
manager reasons that all helmets should be made for men with head
breadths less than 6.2 in., because they would fit all but a few
men. What is wrong with that reasoning?
a) We are given the distribution here as:
Probability that his head breadth is less than 6.2 is computed here as: P(X < 6.2)
Converting it to a standard normal variable, we have here:
Getting it from the standard normal tables, we have here:
Therefore 0.5793 is the required probability here.
b) For 100 men, the standard deviation for sample mean is obtained as:
The probability thus is computed here as:
Getting it from the standard normal tables, we have here:
Therefore 0.9772 is the required probability here.
c) The reasoning is flawed, because even though the mean value of the breadth would be less than 6.2 inches, from part a), we can see that about 42% of the breadth would be higher than 6.2 inches. Therefore the given reasoning is flawed here, as the helment might not fit for 42% of people.