In: Statistics and Probability
A gambler is dealt the following observed distribution of suits in the course of 30 poker hands (5 cards each hand) with the same dealer. The gambler is convinced that the dealer is cheating. In a deck of cards, there are 13 cards of each of 4 suits, so the gambler expects close to equal amount of each suit. In this results table, the expected count appears below the observed count.
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Which chi-square test is appropriate for this data (assuming the conditions are met)?
A. Goodness-of-fit
B. Test of homogeneity
C. Test of independence
We need to conduct the Chi-square goodness of fit test, based on a Uniform distribution of the variable.
Null Hyothesis, H0: The dealer is not cheating, hence dealing equal amount of each suit
Alternate Hyothesis, Ha: The dealer is cheating, hence not dealing equal amount of each suit
We can compute the expected frequencies as per below table. The Chi-square statistic has been computed using
Outcome | Observed | Expected | Chi-Square Statistic |
Clubs | 44 | 37.5 | 1.126666667 |
Diamonds | 11 | 37.5 | 18.72666667 |
Hearts | 46 | 37.5 | 1.926666667 |
Spades | 49 | 37.5 | 3.526666667 |
Total | 150 | 150 | 25.30666667 |
Critical Value: The test has 3 degrees of freedom, viz. one less than the number of categories. For 5% level of singificance, the critical value is
The observed statistic is in the critical range. That is, the test statistic 25.31 is less than the critical value 7.81. Hence, we must reject the null hypothesis and concude that the dealer is cheating, hence not dealing equal amount of each suit