In: Economics
"A company's present worth (PW) is given by the following
equation: PW = -$180062 + 2.199X(Y-15) + 36560S, where X is the
demand, Y is the unit price, and S is a factor that determines the
salvage value. All three of these are random variables. Use
simulation, like SIPMath, to simulate the present worth of BMC with
100,000 trials.
Set X as a normal distribution with mean 2292 and standard
deviation 114. Set Y as a trianglular distribution with the minimum
equal to 49, the most likely equal to 51, and the maximum equal to
55. Set S as a uniform distribution (between 0 and 1, there are no
parameters).
After simulating 100,000 trials, calculate the probability that the
present worth is less than 0. Express your answer as a decimal
between 0 and 1."