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The Neal Company wants to estimate next year's return on equity (ROE) under different financial leverage...

The Neal Company wants to estimate next year's return on equity (ROE) under different financial leverage ratios. Neal's total capital is $11 million, it currently uses only common equity, it has no future plans to use preferred stock in its capital structure, and its federal-plus-state tax rate is 40%. The CFO has estimated next year's EBIT for three possible states of the world: $5.5 million with a 0.2 probability, $2.2 million with a 0.5 probability, and $0.6 million with a 0.3 probability. Calculate Neal's expected ROE, standard deviation, and coefficient of variation for each of the following debt-to-capital ratios. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to two decimal places at the end of the calculations.

Debt/Capital ratio is 0. RÔE = % σ = % CV =

Debt/Capital ratio is 10%, interest rate is 9%. RÔE = % σ = % CV =

Debt/Capital ratio is 50%, interest rate is 11%. RÔE = % σ = % CV = Debt/Capital ratio is 60%,

interest rate is 14%. RÔE = % σ = % CV =

Solutions

Expert Solution

(a) Debt/Capital ratio is 0

Probability is 0.2, 0.5,0.3 for the EBIT 5,500,000, 2,200,000, 600,000 respectively

Total capital = equity = 11,000,000

Total capital 11
Debt 0
Interest 0
Equity 11
Tax 40%
State Probability EBIT (EBIT-i)*(1-t) ROE Prob*ROE Prob*[ROE-E(ROE)]^2
1 0.2 5.5 3.3 30.00% 6.00% 0.5792%
2 0.5 2.2 1.32 12.00% 6.00% 0.0048%
3 0.3 0.6 0.36 3.27% 0.98% 0.2828%
E(ROE) (Sum(ROE)) 12.98%
Variance(Sum(Prob*[ROE-E(ROE)]^2)) 0.8669%
Standard deviation sd (Sqrt(variance)) 9.311%
CV (sd/E(ROE) 0.71720

Sigma is the standard deviation

E(ROE) is the required ROE

(b)

Debt/Capital ratio is 10%, the interest rate is 9%

Total capital 11
Debt 1.1 10% debt to capital
Interest 0.099 (9%*Debt)
Equity 9.9 Total capital - debt
Tax 40%
State Probability EBIT (EBIT-i)*(1-t) ROE Prob*ROE Prob*[ROE-E(ROE)]^2
1 0.2 5.5 3.2406 32.73% 6.55% 0.7151%
2 0.5 2.2 1.2606 12.73% 6.37% 0.0060%
3 0.3 0.6 0.3006 3.04% 0.91% 0.3491%
E(ROE) (Sum(ROE)) 13.82%
Variance(Sum(Prob*[ROE-E(ROE)]^2)) 1.0702%
Standard deviation sd (Sqrt(variance)) 10.345%
CV (sd/E(ROE) 0.74832

Sigma is the standard deviation

E(ROE) is the required ROE

(c)

Total capital 11
Debt 5.5 50% debt to capital
Interest 0.605 (11%*Debt)
Equity 5.5 Total capital - debt
Tax 40%
State Probability EBIT (EBIT-i)*(1-t) ROE Prob*ROE Prob*[ROE-E(ROE)]^2
1 0.2 5.5 2.937 53.40% 10.68% 2.3169%
2 0.5 2.2 0.957 17.40% 8.70% 0.0193%
3 0.3 0.6 -0.003 -0.05% -0.02% 1.1312%
E(ROE) (Sum(ROE)) 19.36%
Variance(Sum(Prob*[ROE-E(ROE)]^2)) 3.4674%
Standard deviation sd (Sqrt(variance)) 18.621%
CV (sd/E(ROE) 0.96165

Sigma is the standard deviation

E(ROE) is the required ROE

(d)

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Total capital 11
Debt 6.6 60% debt to capital
Interest 0.924 (14%*Debt)
Equity 4.4 Total capital - debt