In: Statistics and Probability
Demand function for Greek yogurt is assumed to be: QGY = B0 + B1 * PGY + B2 * PNGY + E
QGY : demand quantity of Greek yogurt. PGY: price of Greek yogurt. PNGY: price of Non-Greek yogurt.
(1) What signs do you expect on B1 and B2? Why
B0, B1, B2 are estimated as follows:
^B0 = −20.05 with standard error se^B0 = 36.97. ^B1 = −19.50 with standard error se^B1 = 1.35. ^B2 = 7.56 with standard se^B2 = 0.98
sample size = 31, significance level α = 0.05, t30, 0.975 = ±2.042, t30, 0.95 = ±1.697
(2) Write the demand function for Greek yogurt, with B0, B1, B2 replaced with the estimated numerical values.
(3) Do the following hypothesis test and interpret your result. a) Left-tail test: H0: B1 = 0 H1: B1 < 0. b) Two-tail test: H0: B2 = 0 H1: B2 ≠ 0
1)
QGY vs PGY
Negative association
If the demand quantity is larger we can expect larger production and hence lower cost of production and thus lower sales price.
QGY vs PNGY
Positive association
If the prices of non-Geek yogurt rise, people will possibly shift their choice towards Geek-yogurt and thus demand will increase for Geek-yogurt
2)
The demand function is defined as,
The estimate of the slope coefficients are,
The demand function is,
3)
a)
Hypothesis:
This is a one-tailed hypothesis
Let the significance level = 0.05
Test Statistic
The t statistic is obtained using the following formula,
P-value
The p-value is obtained from the t distribution table for t statistic = -14.4444, and degree of freedom = n - 3 = 30 - 3 = 27 for one-tailed test.
Conclusion:
since the p-value is less than 0.05 at a 5% significance level, the null hypothesis is rejected hence we can conclude that the variable PGY is statistically significant in the model.
b)
Hypothesis:
This is a two-tailed hypothesis
Let the significance level = 0.05
Test Statistic
The t statistic is obtained using the following formula,
P-value
The p-value is obtained from the t distribution table for t statistic = 7.7143, and degree of freedom = n - 3 = 30 - 3 = 27 for two-tailed test.
Conclusion:
Since the p-value is less than 0.05 at a 5% significance level, the null hypothesis is rejected hence we can conclude that the variable PNGY is statistically significant in the model.