Why do larger banks tend to have lower net interest
margins?
The extraordinarily low interest rate environment that has
prevailed in the wake of the financial crisis has put downward
pressure on the NIMs of all banks, but especially the largest ones.
Over roughly the past five years, NIMs of large banks have fallen
70 basis points, while NIMs of small banks have decreased
approximately 20 basis points. The more pronounced decline in NIMs
at large banks is driven by two main factors related to the low
interest rate environment.
- The first factor arises from the liability side of banks'
balance sheets, namely from a more pronounced decline in funding
costs at small banks, and accounts for the majority of the
difference in the behavior of NIMs between large and small
banks.
- The second factor stems from the asset side of the balance
sheet. Specifically, in recent years large banks have experienced a
somewhat bigger decline in the interest income that they earn on
"other" assets, which includes assets held for trading
purposes.
- During previous monetary policy tightening episodes, the rates
banks pay on deposits have risen more slowly than market rates,
allowing banks to increase their NIMs.
- In particular, during the next monetary policy tightening
episode, large banks could try to boost their profitability in the
short term even further by delaying an increase in their deposit
rates relative to previous tightening cycles. If that happens, more
deposits than usual could leave the banking system, putting some
downward pressure on the level of short-term interest rates.
- However, with interest on excess reserves higher than many
deposit rates, and with the currently high level of excess reserves
helping banks meet their liquidity requirements, banks may instead
act to preserve deposits as a funding source, accelerating the
pass-through to market interest rates relative to previous
tightening cycles. That said, this latter effect may be damped
because many large banks face balance sheet constraints in light of
the new regulatory environment.
- In particular, the Basel III leverage ratio, which requires the
same amount of capital be held irrespective of the risk of the
underlying asset, may reduce the incentives for banks to preserve
this funding source.