In: Finance
COMPLETE IN EXCEL SHOWING EQUATIONS
Variable Growth Valuation Model Given:
Most recent annual cash flow (CFo) $1,000
Stage 1 annual growth rate (gt) 0.15
Stage 2 annual growth rate (gm) 0.05
Duration of stage 1 growth (years) 3
Required return (k) 0.10
Steps in solution:
1) Estimate future cash flows for the duration of the stage 1 growth period:
CF(0) = given $1,000
CF(1) = CF(0) * (1+gt) $1,150
CF(2) = CF(1) * (1+gt) $1,323
CF(3) = CF(2) * (1+gt) $1,521
2) Use EXCEL's built-in NPV function to find the present value of these cash flows.
RATE 0.10
NPV (rate, CF1:CF3) $3,281.09
3) Use the constant growth formula to estimate the value of the firm at the end of the rapid growth period (V3) where:
CF4 = CF3 (1+gm)
CF4 = $1,597
V3 = $1,597 / (0.10-0.05)
Ve = $31,938
4) Use EXCEL's built-in PV function to find the present value of the amount determined in step 3.
FV $31,938
RATE 0.10
NPER 3
PV ($23,996)
(You may ignore the negative sign for this answer. Recall that EXCEL mandates that the amounts entered for PV and FV must have opposite signs.)
5) Add the amounts found in step 2 (the PV of the rapid growth cash flows ) and step 4 (the PV of the normal growth cash flows).
PV of rapid growth cash flows $3,281
PV of normal growth cash flows $23,996
value of the firm $27,277