In: Finance
A project has a forecasted cash flow of $126 in year 1 and $137 in year 2. The interest rate is 5%, the estimated risk premium on the market is 11.5%, and the project has a beta of 0.66. If you use a constant risk-adjusted discount rate, answer the following: a. What is the PV of the project? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to 2 decimal places.) b. What is the certainty-equivalent cash flow in year 1 and year 2? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to 2 decimal places.) c. What is the ratio of the certainty-equivalent cash flows to the expected cash flows in years 1 and 2? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to 2 decimal places.)
> Calculation of Required return
- Formula
As per CAPM
Re = Rf + (Rm - Rf ) Beta
where
Rf = Risk Free returns
(Rm-Rf) = Risk premium
- Calculation
Re = 5 + 11.50 * 0.66
= 12.59 %
a) PV of the project
Year | Cashflow | PV Factor | PV |
1 | 126 | 1/1.1259 | 111.91 |
2 | 137 | 1/1.12592 | 108.07 |
219.98 |
b) Certainty equivalent Approach
> Concept - Certainty equivalent cash flow is the risk-free cash flow which an investor considers equivalent to a higher but risky expected cash flow.
> Formula - Expected Cash Flow / 1 + Risk Premium
> Calculation
- Year 1 = 126 / ( 1 + 0.1150 )
= $ 113.01 Answer
- Year 2 = 137 / ( 1 + 0.1150 )
= $ 122.87 Answer
c) Ratio of the Certainty equivalent Approach to expected cash flow
> Formula - Certainty equivalent Cash Flow / Expected Cash flow
> Calculation
- Year 1 = 113.01 / 126
= 0.90 Answer
- Year 2 = 122.87 / 137
= 0.90 Answer
Hope you understand the solution.