In: Finance
You have been asked for your advice in selecting a portfolio of assets and have been supplied with the following data:. You have been told that you can create two portfolios—one consisting of assets A and B and the other consisting of assets A and C—by investing equal proportions (50%) in each of the two component assets.
f. What would happen if you constructed a portfolio consisting of assets A, B, and C, equally weighted? Would this reduce risk or enhance return?
If you constructed a portfolio consisting of assets A, B, and C, equally weighted, the average expected return,
rp, for Portfolio ABC is ___ (Round to one decimalplace.)
Projected Return
year | asset a | asset b | asset c |
2018 | 13% | 17% | 13% |
2019 | 15% | 15% | 15% |
2020 | 17% | 13% | 17% |
The portfolio can consist of assets A, B & C. To calculate the portfolio return, we will use the yearly returns of 2018, 2019 & 2020 as well as the average return of all years.
Calculation of Average Returns:
Average Return = Sum of Returns / No. of Returns
Asset A = (13 + 15 + 17) / 3 = 15%
Asset B = (17 + 15 + 13) / 3 = 15%
Asset C = (13 + 15 + 17) / 3 = 15%
Choice of Portfolio:
Portfolio Return (RP) = where Ri = Return of Asset i
wi = Proportion/ weight of Asset i
Calculation of Portfolio Return (RP):
Portfolio 1 - Asset A & B
For 2018 = 13% * 0.5 + 17% * 0.5 = 15%
For 2019 = 15% * 0.5 + 15% * 0.5 = 15%
For 2020 = 17% * 0.5 + 13% * 0.5 = 15%
Average = 15% * 0.5 + 15% * 0.5 = 15%
Conclusion: The portfolio return is constant at 15% because the assets are perfectly negatively corelated (Correlation coefficient = -1). % increase in return of one asset is equal to % decrease in return of another asset. As the proportion of asset is equal, the portfolio risk (variance) will be 0 (Nil).
Portfolio 2 - Asset A & C
For 2018 = 13% * 0.5 + 13% * 0.5 = 13%
For 2019 = 15% * 0.5 + 15% * 0.5 = 15%
For 2020 = 17% * 0.5 + 17% * 0.5 = 17%
Average = 15% * 0.5 + 15% * 0.5 = 15%
Conclusion: The portfolio return is equal to the individual asset returns because the assets are perfectly positively corelated (Correlation coefficient = +1). % increase in return of one asset is equal to % increase in return of another asset. As the proportion of asset is equal, the portfolio risk (variance) will be the weighted average of asset variances.
Portfolio 3 - Asset A, B & C in equal proportion
If we create portfolio 3, it would reduce risk when compared to portfolio 2 at average level. However, the portfolio return will be constant at 15%.
Average Return = 15% * 1/3 + 15% * 1/3 + 15% * 1/3 = 15%
However, the yearly returns will differ from portfolio 1 & 2
For 2018 = 13% * 1/3 + 17% * 1/3 + 13% * 1/3 = 14.3%
For 2019 = 15% * 1/3 + 15% * 1/3 + 15% * 1/3 = 15%
For 2020 = 17% * 1/3 + 13% * 1/3 + 17% * 1/3 = 15.7%
Conclusion: If the investor prefers a diversified portfolio, s/he should invest in Portfolio 3. If the investor prefers a riskless investment, s/he should prefer Portfolio 1. If the market is bullish, prefer Portfolio 1 for higher returns.