In: Statistics and Probability
Dr. Frankenstein relies on lightning strikes to power his resurrection machine. Lightning strikes his machine at a fairly consistent rate across all thunderstorms. The average number of strikes during a two-hour storm is 17. Further, each strike is roughly independent; that is, the probability of a strike is unrelated to how recently another strike occurred. If he needs at least seven strikes to generate enough energy to resurrect his monster, but his machine will overload and breakdown if it gets more than ten strikes.
What is the probability that, after a two-hour storm, he will be able to resurrect his monster? Assume that he waits until the storm ends before attempting to run the machine.
Therefore, the probability that after a two-hour storm, he will be able to resurrect his monster = 0.0471 (rounded up to 4 decimal places)
Here , X is a random variable that represents the number of lightning strikes in a 2 - hour storm.
and , X follows Poisson Distribution with parameter =17 (the mean)