In: Statistics and Probability
Are Southern and Western states equally prone to fatal lightning strikes? Suppose the number of lightning strike fatalities over a 5-year period for Southern and Western states are shown as follows.
Southern State |
Fatalities |
---|---|
AL | 5 |
AR | 1 |
FL | 17 |
GA | 7 |
KY | 5 |
LA | 5 |
MS | 4 |
NC | 3 |
OK | 2 |
SC | 4 |
TN | 0 |
TX | 9 |
VA | 0 |
Western State |
Fatalities |
---|---|
AZ | 6 |
CA | 1 |
ID | 2 |
MT | 2 |
NM | 2 |
NV | 0 |
OR | 2 |
UT | 3 |
WA | 0 |
WY | 4 |
Use α = 0.05 and test to determine whether the distribution of lightning fatalities is the same for these two regions.
State the null and alternative hypotheses.
H0: The two populations of lightning
fatalities are identical.
Ha: The two populations of lightning fatalities
are not identical.H0: Median number of
lightning fatalities for Southern states − Median number of
lightning fatalities for Western states > 0
Ha: Median number of lightning fatalities for
Southern states − Median number of lightning fatalities for Western
states = 0 H0: Median
number of lightning fatalities for Southern states − Median number
of lightning fatalities for Western states ≤ 0
Ha: Median number of lightning fatalities for
Southern states − Median number of lightning fatalities for Western
states > 0H0: Median number of lightning
fatalities for Southern states − Median number of lightning
fatalities for Western states ≥ 0
Ha: Median number of lightning fatalities for
Southern states − Median number of lightning fatalities for Western
states < 0H0: The two populations of
lightning fatalities are not identical.
Ha: The two populations of lightning fatalities
are identical.
Find the value of the test statistic.
W =
Find the p-value. (Round your answer to four decimal places.)
p-value =
What is your conclusion?
Do not reject H0. There is sufficient evidence to conclude that the distribution of lightning fatalities is different for these two regions.Reject H0. There is sufficient evidence to conclude that the distribution of lightning fatalities is different for these two regions. Reject H0. There is not sufficient evidence to conclude that the distribution of lightning fatalities is different for these two regions.Do not reject H0. There is not sufficient evidence to conclude that the distribution of lightning fatalities is different for these two regions.
For this we will use Mann-Whitney test
H0: The two populations of lightning
fatalities are identical.
Ha: The two populations of lightning fatalities
are not identical
For identical population they should have no statistically significant difference between their medians
Mann-Whitney
Method
η₁: median of Fatalities SS |
η₂: median of Fatalities WS |
Difference: η₁ - η₂ |
Descriptive Statistics
Sample | N | Median |
Fatalities SS | 13 | 4 |
Fatalities WS | 10 | 2 |
Estimation for Difference
Difference |
CI for Difference |
Achieved Confidence |
2 | (-1, 4) | 95.62% |
Test
Null hypothesis | H₀: η₁ - η₂ = 0 |
Alternative hypothesis | H₁: η₁ - η₂ ≠ 0 |
Method | W-Value | P-Value |
Not adjusted for ties | 182.00 | 0.114 |
Adjusted for ties | 182.00 | 0.110 |
Conclusion
Since p-value is more than the level of significance (0.05), we fail to reject the null hypothesis
Do not reject H0. There is not sufficient evidence to conclude that the distribution of lightning fatalities is different for these two regions