In: Finance
Question 1. Suppose you are an investment consultant. You have produced below analysis of the key financial ratios of 5 companies.
Zoom Video Communications, Inc. (ZM) |
Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK) |
Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) |
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) |
Alibaba Group Holding Limited |
|
Standard deviation |
19.56 |
4.71 |
6.10 |
7.55 |
9.15 |
Variance |
361.48 |
21.76 |
36.58 |
56.02 |
82.22 |
Skewness |
0.21 |
-0.63 |
-0.01 |
-0.55 |
-0.12 |
Kurtosis |
-1.26 |
0.65 |
0.91 |
0.13 |
-0.13 |
Jensen's Alpha |
15.18 |
0.67 |
0.23 |
0.98 |
1.38 |
Beta |
-1.4 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
R-squared |
0.19 |
0.13 |
0.28 |
0.34 |
0.36 |
You are required:
Please advise your client which of these companies he/she needs to invest as the first choice choice. Which company he/she must not invest. Clearly explain your client the reasoning behind your advice. You must make use of analysis results presented in the above table to justify your andive. ( 25 marks)
Question 2.
You are a financial consultant. Your curious client, who started to learn finance, has asked you to explain why Zoom Video has a negative beta in the above table. Explain using fundamental factors that determine company beta.
Question 3. What does Jensen’s alpha tell you. If you were to select a company just based on Jensen’s alphs which company would you invest and which company would you avoid?
Question 4. Your friend has suggested you to invest $150,000 US Dollars into one of the below projects with future cash you can earn listed in the below table. Suppose that the discount rate 15% per year. Which investment project you will invest if you must select only one project (hint: use Net Present Value estimation method)
Year |
Costmetics shop |
Hair Salon |
Gym |
1 |
35,000 |
90,000 |
10,000 |
2 |
35,000 |
70,000 |
10,000 |
3 |
35,000 |
20,000 |
10,000 |
4 |
35,000 |
10,000 |
|
5 |
35,000 |
10,000 |
|
6 |
35,000 |
180,000 |
|
total cash |
210,000 |
180,000 |
230,000 |
Answer 1 - Client should invest in Merck & co. as the
company has lowest standard deviation (risk) and beta with
sufficient amount of jensen's alpha and kurtosis. This shows that
company is less risky and will be able to outperform the return on
the market. While client shouldn't invest in Zoom Video
Communication because oh high standard deviation and negative beta
which suggests that company will move in the opposite direction of
the stock market which is not a good thing while considering an
investment option.
Answer 2 - The company beta's depends upon the standard deviation
of company's stock, standard deviation of market and correlation
between them. Since, standard deviation of company's stock and
market can not be negative. so the reason of negative beta is the
negative correlation between them. The negative beta suggests that
company will move in the opposite direction of the stock market. If
stock market rises, company's stock will go down and vice
versa.
Answer 3 - Jensen's alpha tells us whether company will be able to
get enough return considering the beta. If the value is positive,
then the portfolio is earning excess returns and vice versa.
If we consider only Jensen's alpha in the given information, then
we will select Zoom Video Communications because of the highest
Jensen's alpha value. It shows that company will earn excess return
as compared to the market return.
Answer 4 -
Year | Costmetics shop | Hair Salon | Gym |
1 | 35,000 | 90,000 | 10,000 |
2 | 35,000 | 70,000 | 10,000 |
3 | 35,000 | 20,000 | 10,000 |
4 | 35,000 | 10,000 | |
5 | 35,000 | 10,000 | |
6 | 35,000 | 180,000 | |
total cash | 210,000 | 180,000 | 230,000 |
Rate | 15% | ||
Net Present Value | $132,456.89 | $144,341.25 | $111,340.52 |
Cash Invested | -150,000 | -150,000 | -150,000 |
Net loss | ($17,543.11) | ($5,658.75) | ($38,659.48) |
The loss is minimum in Hair Salon business ($5.658.75). Thus,
friend should invest in Hair Salon business only.
Note - NPV = Cash1/(1+Rate) + Cash2/(1+Rate)^2 + ........+
CashN/(1+Rate)^N - Initial Cash Invested