In: Statistics and Probability
AAA claims that over 54% of fatal car/truck accidents are caused by driver error, a researcher studied 30 randomly selected accidents and found that 14 were caused by driver error. test the AAA claim at a level of significance of a=0.10
H0
H1
CV
Test Statistic
Since we have to test if the number of accidents caused by driver error is equal to 54%, this is a two tailed test as there is no direction specified (greater than or lesser than).
The Hypothesis:
H0: p = 0.54
Ha: p 0.54
This is a 2 Tailed Test.
The Test Statistic: = 14 / 30 = 0.467
The Critical Value: The critical value (2 tail) at = 0.10, Z critical = -1.645 and +1.645
The Decision Rule: If Z observed is > Z critical or if Z observed is < -Z critical, Then Reject H0.
The
Decision: Since Z lies in between -1.645 and +1.645, We
Fail To Reject H0
The Conclusion: There isn't sufficient evidence at the 90% significance level to warrant rejection of the claim by the AAA that the percentage of accidents caused by driver error is equal to 54%.