Question

Walmart is considering opening a small experimental store in New York City. A store is expected to have a long economic life, but the valuation horizon is 15 years. The store in New York is likely to generate revenues of $36M in the first year and then it grows at 5.0%. But the costs of running the business are high because the margins on all the products sold are low. (It is a volume business!) The cost of goods sold is $12M in year 1 and it is expected to grow at 3.5% per year thereafter. Selling and administration costs are likely to be $1.2M every year as it is a small store. The tax rate is 35%. Walmart is so good at managing its stores that working capital increases can be assumed to be negligible. But since New York City is an expensive place, Walmart will have to invest $225M in purchasing a building (with land) even though it is a much smaller property than a usual Walmart store. The good news is that this outlay can be straight line depreciated over 19 years. Also, Walmart has estimated that the after-tax terminal value in year 19 dollars is $75M. This value is the present value of all cash flows in year 20 and beyond. What is the NPV of opening this new store if the appropriate discount rate is 4.0%?

Answer 1

	Present Value								FIGURES in $ Millions
Discount Rate/ Year	0.04	Bulding	Sales	COGS	Sell & Admin	Depreciation	PBT	Tax @ 35 %	PAT	CF	PV of CF
0	1.00	-225.0									-225.00
1	0.96		36.00	-12.00	-1.20	-11.84	10.96	3.84	7.12	18.96	18.24
2	0.92		37.80	-12.42	-1.20	-11.84	12.34	4.32	8.02	19.86	18.36
3	0.89		39.69	-12.85	-1.20	-11.84	13.79	4.83	8.97	20.81	18.50
4	0.85		41.67	-13.30	-1.20	-11.84	15.33	5.36	9.96	21.81	18.64
5	0.82		43.76	-13.77	-1.20	-11.84	16.95	5.93	11.01	22.86	18.79
6	0.79		45.95	-14.25	-1.20	-11.84	18.65	6.53	12.12	23.97	18.94
7	0.76		48.24	-14.75	-1.20	-11.84	20.45	7.16	13.29	25.13	19.10
8	0.73		50.66	-15.27	-1.20	-11.84	22.35	7.82	14.53	26.37	19.27
9	0.70		53.19	-15.80	-1.20	-11.84	24.34	8.52	15.82	27.67	19.44
10	0.68		55.85	-16.35	-1.20	-11.84	26.45	9.26	17.19	29.04	19.62
11	0.65		58.64	-16.93	-1.20	-11.84	28.67	10.03	18.64	30.48	19.80
12	0.62		61.57	-17.52	-1.20	-11.84	31.01	10.85	20.16	32.00	19.99
13	0.60		64.65	-18.13	-1.20	-11.84	33.48	11.72	21.76	33.60	20.18
14	0.58		67.88	-18.77	-1.20	-11.84	36.07	12.63	23.45	35.29	20.38
15	0.56		71.28	-19.42	-1.20	-11.84	38.81	13.58	25.23	37.07	20.58
16	0.53		74.84	-20.10	-1.20	-11.84	41.70	14.59	27.10	38.94	20.79
17	0.51		78.58	-20.81	-1.20	-11.84	44.73	15.66	29.08	40.92	21.01
18	0.49		82.51	-21.54	-1.20	-11.84	47.93	16.78	31.16	43.00	21.23
19	0.47		86.64	-22.29	-1.20	-11.84	51.31	17.96	33.35	45.19	21.45
											149.28
							Terminal Value		75
							Discounted TV		35.60
							Total Value =		184.88