In: Statistics and Probability
4. A firm would like to know the proportion of its employees that expect to receive a raise within the next year. The firm surveys 150 employees and finds that 60 expect a raise. Construct a 90% confidence interval for the population proportion.
a) What is the sample proportion?
b) State the critical value:
c) Calculate the margin of error (round to the thousandths place):
d) State the lower and upper values for the confidence interval:
Solution :
Given that,
n = 150
x = 60
Point estimate = sample proportion =
= x / n = 60/150=0.4
1 -
= 1- 0.4 =0.6
At 90% confidence level
= 1 - 90%
= 1 - 0.90 =0.10
/2
= 0.05
Z/2
= Z0.05 = 1.645 ( Using z table )
Margin of error = E Z/2
*
((
* (1 -
)) / n)
= 1.645 *((0.4*0.6)
/150 )
E = 0.066
A 90% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p <
+ E
0.4-0.066 < p < 0.4+0.066
0.334< p < 0.466
lower 0.334
and upper 0.466