In: Statistics and Probability
23. For this problem, carry at least four digits after the
decimal in your calculations. Answers may vary slightly due to
rounding.
In a random sample of 64 professional actors, it was found that 41
were extroverts.
(a) Let p represent the proportion of all actors who
are extroverts. Find a point estimate for p. (Round your
answer to four decimal places.)
(b) Find a 95% confidence interval for p. (Round your
answers to two decimal places.)
lower limit | |
upper limit |
Give a brief interpretation of the meaning of the confidence
interval you have found.
a. We are 5% confident that the true proportion of actors who are extroverts falls within this interval.
b. We are 95% confident that the true proportion of actors who are extroverts falls outside this interval.
c. We are 95% confident that the true proportion of actors who are extroverts falls within this interval.
d. We are 5% confident that the true proportion of actors who are extroverts falls above this interval.
(c) Do you think the conditions np > 5 and nq
> 5 are satisfied in this problem? Explain why this would be an
important consideration.
a. Yes, the conditions are satisfied. This is important because it allows us to say that p̂ is approximately binomial.
b. No, the conditions are not satisfied. This is important because it allows us to say that p̂ is approximately binomial.
c. No, the conditions are not satisfied. This is important because it allows us to say that p̂ is approximately normal.
d. Yes, the conditions are satisfied. This is important because it allows us to say that p̂ is approximately normal.
Solution :
Given that,
n = 64
x = 41
Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 41 / 64 = 0.6406
1 - = 1 - 0.6406 = 0.3594
At 95% confidence level
= 1 - 95%
=1 - 0.95 =0.05
/2
= 0.025
Z/2
= Z0.025 = 1.96
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.96 ((( 0.6406 * 0.3594)) / 64)
= 0.1176
A 95% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p < + E
0.6406 - 0.1176 < p < 0.6406 + 0.1176
0.5231 < p < 0.7582
0.52 < p < 0.76
The 95% confidence interval for the p is :
Lower limit : 0.52
Upper limit : 0.76
. We are 95% confident that the true proportion of actors who are extroverts falls within this interval.
d. Yes, the conditions are satisfied. This is important because it allows us to say that p̂ is approximately normal.