In: Finance
There are two alternative ways of building and operating a project.
A. The government borrows, builds, and operates the project. Because it is considered the risk-free borrower, the government has a comparative advantage in borrowing, and it can borrow at the risk-free rate of 1%. It will cost the government $200 million to build the project in Year 0 and the project will generate a cash flow of $3 million for infinity.
B. A private enterprise, whose weighted average cost of capital is 5%, has a comparative advantage in building and operating the project. It can build the project for $150 million in Year 0 and generate a cash flow of $12.5 million for infinity.
Questions:
1. (10 points) How much are the NPV and IRR of Alternative A? How much are the NPV and IRR of Alternative B?
2 (10 points) If only one of the two alternatives can be chosen, which one should be chosen? Explain fully, with supporting calculations.
3. (10 points) Suggest a way of building and operating the project that would be even better than choosing either A or B. Explain fully, with supporting calculations.
1.
Alternative A
Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | …….. |
Cash flows of Government | -200 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Discounted cash flows | -200/(1+.01)0 | 3/(1+.01)1 | 3/(1+.01)2 | …… |
The NPV shall be sum of discounted cash flows of all the years which will included $- 200 m in the first year and the sum of future discounted cash flows.
The series of future discounted cash flows forms a Geometric Progression series from year 1 whose
sum is = 3/(1+0.01)/[1-(1/(1+0.01)] = 300
Hence the NPV of Cash flows of Government = -200 + 300 = $100 m
IRR of series -200 ,300 = 50%
Alternative B
Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | …… |
Cash flows of Private Enterprise | -150 | 12.5 | 12.5 | 12.5 |
Discounted cash flows | -150 | 11.90476 | 11.33787 | 10.79797 |
Similarly NPV of alternative B = $ 100 m
IRR of alternative B = 67%
2. The NPV of both the alternatives is $100 m but the IRR of alternative B is 67% which is more than alternative A. Alternative B should be chosen since the returns on investment are better in alternative B.
3. If project can be done with Government and private partnership where Government invests $ 100 m and Private Enterprise invests $ 50 m, the cash flows will be in following manner:
Year | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Cash flows of Government | -100 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Discounted cash flows | -100 | 1.485149 | 1.470444 |
NPV | 50 | ||
IRR | 50% |
Year | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Cash flows of Private enterprise | -50 | 6.25 | 6.25 |
Discounted cash flows | -50 | 5.952381 | 5.668934 |
NPV | 75 | ||
IRR | 150% |
The combined IRR of cash flows will be 83% and combined NPV is $ 125 m.