A lightbulb manufacturer ships large consignments of lightbulbs to big industrial users. When the production process...

A lightbulb manufacturer ships large consignments of lightbulbs to big industrial users. When the production process is functioning correctly, which is 90 %

of the time, 35% of all bulbs produced are defective. However, the process is susceptible to an occasional malfunction, leading to a defective rate of 80%.

If a defective bulb is found, what is the probability that the process is functioning correctly? If a nondefective bulb is found, what is the probability that the process is operating correctly?

Solutions

Expert Solution

TOPIC:Application of the Bayes' theorem.

At first, the given percentages are expressed in decimals.

orchestra answered 1 year ago

Next > < Previous

Related Solutions

A manufacturer considers his production process to be out of control when defects exceed 5%. In...

A manufacturer considers his production process to be out of control when defects exceed 5%. In a random sample of 105 items, the defect rate is .9% but the manager claims that this is only a sample fluctuation and production is not really out of control. At the 0.01 level of significance, test the manager's claim. H0= H1= Test Statistic = Critical Value= or P-value= Conclusion=

Craig Phillips is a buyer at Socon, a manufacturer of large industrial pumps. He has a...

Craig Phillips is a buyer at Socon, a manufacturer of large industrial pumps. He has a requirement for a customized subassembly that his preferred supplier, Oriel, is building for the first time. He is preparing for negotiation with Oriel, where a key issue will be the price of a subassembly. Given the unique nature of this subassembly, Craig expects to incorporate into the contract price reduction targets based on learning curve estimates. While Craig does not have specific data for...

Describe an industrial process that is affected by large dead times, paying special attention to their...

Describe an industrial process that is affected by large dead times, paying special attention to their origin and causes.

1.You are a mid-level manager for the Concov Company, a large manufacturer of industrial heat pumps....

1.You are a mid-level manager for the Concov Company, a large manufacturer of industrial heat pumps. Make a short sales report of the increased business your firm has experienced overseas. The sales figures below are for years 2016, 2017, & 2018, respectively. : • Argentina, 45, 53, 34 • Australia, 78, 90, 115 • Bolivia, 23, 43, 52 • Brazil, 29, 34, 35 • Canada, 116, 234, 256 • China, 7, 100, 296 • Denmark, 65, 54, 87 • England,...

Techno Enterprises is a manufacturer of microchips (referred to as chips). Its production process is complex...

Techno Enterprises is a manufacturer of microchips (referred to as chips). Its production process is complex and involves more than 100 steps, starting with production of small, round silicon wafers and ending with chips being put into individual packages that protect them and provide connections to the products for which the chips are developed. The company uses a process costing system and has always made the simplifying assumption that wafers in production, but not yet finished, are 50 percent complete...

super-savers ltd is a major manufacturer of industrial machinery. when the stores department requires items to...

super-savers ltd is a major manufacturer of industrial machinery. when the stores department requires items to be purchased, they issue a three-part pre-numbered purchase requisition that needs to be approved by the stores’ manager. copy 1 is sent to the purchasing department, copy 2 is sent to the accounts payable department and copy 3 is filed in the stores department. on receipt of an approved purchase requisition, the purchasing department issues a five-part pre-numbered purchase order. copy 1 is sent...

Blue Creek Industrial Inc. is considering updating its production process. The managers are considering replacing a...

Blue Creek Industrial Inc. is considering updating its production process. The managers are considering replacing a machine which it purchased four years ago with an installed cost of $620,000. There are 2 years of depreciation remaining using the MACRS rates given below. The new machine, a BIOVAT 3000, will cost $900,000 and will require an additional $29,000 for delivery and installation. This new unit will also require training costs of approximately $11,000. The MACRS rates are 20%, 32%, 19%, 12%,...

A. Gita Rani Sdn Bhd (GR) is a plastic manufacturer, which operates from a large production...

A. Gita Rani Sdn Bhd (GR) is a plastic manufacturer, which operates from a large production facility, where it undertakes continuous production 24 hours a day, seven days a week. The company’s production facility includes two warehouses, where the company’s raw materials and finished goods are stored. GR’s year end is 31 December. GR is finalizing the arrangements for the year-end inventory count, which is to be undertaken on 31 December 2019. The finished plastic bottle are stored in the...

A beverage can manufacturer makes three sizes of soft drink cans—Small, Medium and Large. Production is...

A beverage can manufacturer makes three sizes of soft drink cans—Small, Medium and Large. Production is limited by machine availability, with a combined maximum of 105 production hours per day, and the daily supply of metal, no more than 200 kg per day. The following table provides the details of the input needed to manufacture one batch of 100 cans for each size. Cans Large Medium Small Maximum Metal (kg)/batch 9 6 5 200 Machines’ Time (hr)/batch 4.4 4.2...

Whack Ltd, a tennis racquet manufacturer, has broken the production process into three lines, each in...

Whack Ltd, a tennis racquet manufacturer, has broken the production process into three lines, each in a different department: framing, stringing, and finishing. The following information relates to each department for the month of April: FRAMING STRINGING FINISHING Direct Costs $20,000 $30,000 $66,000 Indirect Costs $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 Labour Hours 2,000 hrs 5,000 hrs 3,000 hrs Machine hours 500 hrs 0 hrs 0 hrs Production for April is 10,000 racquets Refer to the table above. The overhead recovery rate for stringing...

Subjects