In: Finance
A company is projected to have a free cash flow of $357 million next year, growing at a 6% rate until the end of year 3. After that, cash flows are expected to grow at a stable rate of 2.4% in perpetuity. The company's cost of capital is 9.1%. The company owes $96 million to lenders and has $14 million in cash. If it has 207 million shares outstanding, what is your estimate for its stock price? Round to one decimal place. (e.g., $4.32 = 4.3)
Step-1:Calculation of present value of cash flows of next 3 years | |||||||
Year | Cash flow | Discount factor | Present Value | ||||
a | b | c=1.091^-a | d=b*c | ||||
1 | $ 357.00 | 0.9165903 | $ 327.22 | ||||
2 | $ 378.42 | 0.8401377 | $ 317.92 | ||||
3 | $ 401.13 | 0.7700621 | $ 308.89 | ||||
Total | $ 954.04 | ||||||
Step-2:Calculation of present value of after year 3 cash flows | |||||||
Present value | = | CF3*(1+g)/(Ke-g)*DF3 | Where, | ||||
= | $ 4,720.97 | CF3 | = | $ 401.13 | |||
g | = | 2.40% | |||||
Ke | = | 9.10% | |||||
DF3 | = | 0.770062 | |||||
Step-3:Present value of all cash flows | |||||||
Present value of cash flows | = | $ 954.04 | + | $ 4,720.97 | + | $ 14.00 | |
= | $ 5,689.00 | ||||||
Step-4:Calculation of value per share | |||||||
Value of firm | $ 5,689.00 | ||||||
Less value of debt | $ 96.00 | ||||||
Value of equity | $ 5,593.00 | ||||||
/ No. of shares | 207 | ||||||
Value per share | $ 27.02 | ||||||
Note: | |||||||
All amounts are in million except value per share. |