In: Finance
A company is projected to have a free cash flow of $429 million next year, growing at a 4.7% rate until the end of year 3. After that, cash flows are expected to grow at a stable rate of 2.6%. The company's cost of capital is 10.8%. The company owes $114 million to lenders and has $10 million in cash. If it has 264 million shares outstanding, what is your estimate for its stock price? Round to one decimal place.
Year | Free Cashflow | PV factor @10.8%, 1/(1+r)^time | Free Cashflow * PV factor | |
1 | $ 429.00 | 0.9025 | $ 387.18 | |
2 | $ 449.16 | 0.8146 | $ 365.87 | 429*104.7% |
3 | $ 470.27 | 0.7352 | $ 345.73 | 449.16*104.7% |
3 | $ 5,884.16 | 0.7352 | $ 4,325.78 | |
Current firm value | $ 5,424.56 | |||
Current Free Cashflow | $ 470.27 | |||
Rate of return | 10.80% | |||
Growth Rate | 2.60% | |||
Firm value at the horizon i.e. T3 | =Current Free Cashflow*(1+Growth rate)/(Rate of return-Growth Rate) | |||
Firm value at the horizon i.e. T3 | =470.273661*(1+0.026)/(0.108-0.026) | |||
Firm value at the horizon i.e. T3 | $ 5,884.16 | |||
Company's operating asset value | $ 5,424.56 | million | ||
Cash | $ 10.00 | million | ||
Debt value | $ (114.00) | million | ||
Equity value | $ 5,320.56 | million | ||
No of shares | 264.00 | million | ||
Share price per share | =5320.56/264 | |||
Share price per share | $ 20.15 | |||