In: Finance
A company is projected to have a free cash flow of $368 million next year, growing at a 5% rate until the end of year 3. After that, cash flows are expected to grow at a stable rate of 2.4% in perpetuity. The company's cost of capital is 8.9%. The company owes $99 million to lenders and has $11 million in cash. If it has 218 million shares outstanding, what is your estimate for its stock price? Round to one decimal place. (e.g., $4.32 = 4.3)
WACC= | 8.90% | ||||||
Year | Previous year FCF | FCF growth rate | FCF current year | Horizon value | Total Value | Discount factor | Discounted value |
1 | 0 | 0.00% | 368 | 368 | 1.089 | 337.9247 | |
2 | 368 | 5.00% | 386.4 | 386.4 | 1.185921 | 325.82272 | |
3 | 386.4 | 5.00% | 405.72 | 6391.65 | 6797.37 | 1.291467969 | 5263.28965 |
Long term growth rate (given)= | 2.40% | Value of Enterprise = | Sum of discounted value = | 5927.04 | |||
Where | |||||||
Current FCF =Previous year FCF*(1+growth rate)^corresponding year | |||||||
Unless FCF for the year provided | |||||||
Total value = FCF + horizon value (only for last year) | |||||||
Horizon value = FCF current year 3 *(1+long term growth rate)/( WACC-long term growth rate) | |||||||
Discount factor=(1+ WACC)^corresponding period | |||||||
Discounted value=total value/discount factor |
Enterprise value = Equity value+ MV of debt |
- Cash & Cash Equivalents |
5927.04 = Equity value+99-11 |
Equity value = 5839.04 |
share price = equity value/number of shares |
share price = 5839.04/218 |
share price = 26.78 |