In: Statistics and Probability
) Answer the following questions regarding time
series:
If the exports ($ millions) for the period 1997 through 2001 were $878, $892, $864, $870, and $912 respectively, what are these values called?
A time series is a collection of data that:
For an annual time series extending from 1993 through 2001, how many years would be lost in a five-year moving average?
For a three-year moving average, how many values will be lost at the beginning and end of the time series?
How can you describe the moving average method?
As these values are arranged with respect to time, it's a chronological data or a Time series.
A time series is a collection of data that: is arranged in chronological order i.e. data arranged according to its occurrence with respect to time.
In a five year moving average, we start by averaging the first 5 data values and place it against the year in the middle of this time interval i.e. the 3rd year. We then take the average of 5 years starting from the second year(from year 2 to year 6) and place this value against the 4th year and so on. Thus, proceeding in the same manner, we don't have any averaged value for the first 2 and last 2 years. i.e. for 1993,1992,2000,2001. Therefore, 4 years would me lost.
Similarly, in a 3 year moving average, we average first 3 values and place this value against the 2nd year and go on. Thus the value for the first year and last year would be lost.
(Note: b/w - between)