In: Finance
Suppose you observe the following situation: |
Rate of Return If State Occurs | |||||||||
State of | Probability of | ||||||||
Economy | State | Stock A | Stock B | ||||||
Bust | .30 | −.10 | −.08 | ||||||
Normal | .50 | .11 | .11 | ||||||
Boom | .20 | .46 | .26 | ||||||
a. |
Calculate the expected return on each stock. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answers as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.) |
Expected return | |
Stock A | % |
Stock B | % |
b. |
Assuming the capital asset pricing model holds and Stock A's beta is greater than Stock B's beta by .45, what is the expected market risk premium? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answer as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.) |
Expected market risk premium | % |
Stock A
State | Probability (P) | Return(%) | P*Return |
Bust | 0.3 | -10 | (3.00) |
Normal | 0.5 | 11 | 5.50 |
Boom | 0.2 | 46 | 9.20 |
Expected return = -3+5.5+9.2
= 11.70%
Stock B
State | Probability (P) | Return(%) | P*Return |
Bust | 0.3 | -8 | (2.40) |
Normal | 0.5 | 11 | 5.50 |
Boom | 0.2 | 26 | 5.20 |
Expected return = -2.4+5.5+5.2
= 8.30%
using Capital Asset Pricing Model
Expected return = Rf + b ( Rm – Rf )
Where,
Rf – Risk free return
b – Beta
Rm – Expected return on market portfolio
Rm-Rf - Market risk premium
Expected return of stock A = 11.70 = Rf+((beta of b+.45)*(Rm-Rf))
Expected return of stock B = 8.30= Rf+(beta of b*(Rm-Rf))
Subtracting the above 2 equations
3.4 = .45*(Rm-Rf)
Rm-Rf = 3.4/.45
= 7.56%