In: Statistics and Probability
Table 8.4 The Furniture Super Mart is a furniture retailer in Evansville, Indiana. The Marketing Manager wants to prepare a media budget based on the next quarter's business plan. The manager wants to decide the mix of radio advertising and newspaper advertising needed to generate varying levels of Weekly Gross Revenue. The manager has collected data for the past five weeks, and has recorded the following average Weekly Gross Revenues and expenditures for Weekly Radio (X1) and Newspaper (X2) advertising:
WEEK |
|
AVERAGE WEEKLY RADIO ADVERTISING ($000) |
AVERAGE WEEKLY NEWSPAPER ADVERTISING ($000) |
1 |
60 |
6 |
1 |
2 |
45 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
55 |
4 |
2 |
4 |
70 |
5 |
3 |
5 |
40 |
2 |
1 |
The Manager uses the multiple regression model in OM Explorer and obtains the following results:
Solver - Regression Analysis
R-squared 0.840
R 0.916
Constant 20.5
Standard Error of Estimate 6.755
Trial X1 Value 7 X1 Coefficient 6.500
Trial X2 Value 4 X2 Coefficient 3.750
Trial X3 Value X3 Coefficient 0.000
Trial X4 Value X4 Coefficient 0.000
Trial X5 Value X5 Coefficient 0.000
Predicted Y value 81.000
a) Use the information provided in Table 8.4. Adding $1,000 of Weekly Radio Advertising (X1) can be expected to increase Weekly Gross Revenues by what amount? (Assume all other variables are held constant.)
$20,500 $3,750 $10,250 $6,500
b) Use the information provided in Table 8.4. Adding $1,000 of Weekly Newspaper Advertising (X2) can be expected to increase Weekly Gross Revenues by what amount? (Assume all other variables are held constant.)
$6,500 $20,500 $10,250 $3,750
c) Use the information provided in Table 8.4. What amount of Weekly Gross Revenue can be expected for a week in which no radio or newspaper advertising is purchased? (Assume all other variables are held constant.)
$6,500 $20,500 $10,250 $3,750
d) Use the information provided in Table 8.4. What is the estimated Weekly Gross Revenue if $7,000 is spent on Radio Advertising (X1) and $4,000 is spent on Newspaper Advertising (X2)?
$81,000 $15,000 $60,500 $45,500
using excel>data>data analysis>Regression
we have
SUMMARY OUTPUT | ||||||
Regression Statistics | ||||||
Multiple R | 0.916467 | |||||
R Square | 0.839912 | |||||
Adjusted R Square | 0.679825 | |||||
Standard Error | 6.754628 | |||||
Observations | 5 | |||||
ANOVA | ||||||
df | SS | MS | F | Significance F | ||
Regression | 2 | 478.75 | 239.375 | 5.246575 | 0.160088 | |
Residual | 2 | 91.25 | 45.625 | |||
Total | 4 | 570 | ||||
Coefficients | Standard Error | t Stat | P-value | Lower 95% | Upper 95% | |
Intercept | 20.5 | 11.30265 | 1.813733 | 0.211393 | -28.1314 | 69.1314 |
Radio Ads | 6.5 | 2.136001 | 3.04307 | 0.093146 | -2.69047 | 15.69047 |
NewsAds | 3.75 | 3.377314 | 1.11035 | 0.38246 | -10.7814 | 18.28141 |
Revenue = 20.5 +6.5 Radio Ads +3.75 News Ads
a) Adding $1,000 of Weekly Radio Advertising (X1) can be expected to increase Weekly Gross Revenues by 6500
$6,500
b) Adding $1,000 of Weekly Newspaper Advertising (X2) can be expected to increase Weekly Gross Revenues by 3750
$3,750
c) The amount of Weekly Gross Revenue can be expected for a week in which no radio or newspaper advertising is purchased
$20,500
d) the estimated Weekly Gross Revenue if $7,000 is spent on Radio Advertising (X1) and $4,000 is spent on Newspaper Advertising (X2) is
Revenue = 20.5 +6.5*7 +3.75*4 =81
$81,000