In: Finance
Micah is investing in the stocks of the company KNS. KNS just paid a dividend of $1 per share (D0 = 1). Micah expects the dividend growth rate to be -10% for Year One and 5% for Year Two. Afterwards, Micah believes the growth rate to be constant at g forever. Micah uses CAPM model to determine the discount rate (expected rate of return). And he calculates the following: E(rm) = 6%, rf = 1%, and βKNS = 0.6. (a) If g = 3%, what is Micah’s estimate of the current price using the Dividend Discount Model?
(b) Suppose that the current price of KNS is $120 and Micah decides to short sell 100 shares of KNS stock using margin. The initial margin requirement is 50%. How much does Micah have to deposit into the margin account?
(c) If the price goes up to $140 per share and the maintenance margin is 35%, will Micah receive a margin call?
(d) Suppose Micah receives a margin call under 2(c). What is the minimum amount of cash that Micah can use to bring the margin back to 35%?
CAPM Equation: | ||||||||
R=rf+Beta*(rm-rf) | ||||||||
R=Expected Rate of Return | ||||||||
Beta=0.6 | ||||||||
rf=Risk Free Rate=1% | ||||||||
rm=Expected Market Return=6% | ||||||||
R=Expected Rate of Return=1+0.6*(6-1) | 4% | |||||||
Dividend Discount Model: | ||||||||
D0=1 | ||||||||
D1= dividend of year 1 | 1.1 | (1*(1+0.1) | (Growth Rate =10%=0.1 | |||||
D2= dividend of year 2 | 1.155 | (1.1*(1+0.05) | (Growth Rate =5%=0.0.05 | |||||
D3= dividend of year 3 | 1.18965 | 1.155*(1+0.03) | (Growth Rate =g=3%=0.0.03 | |||||
R=Expected Return=4%=0.04 | ||||||||
Price in year2=P2 | ||||||||
P2=D3/(R-g) | ||||||||
P2=1.18965/(0.04-0.03) | 118.97 | |||||||
Current Price =Present Value of Future Cash Flows | ||||||||
Present Value of future cash flows=(Cash Flow)/((1+R)^N) | ||||||||
R=Discount Rate =4%=0.04, N=Year of cash flows | ||||||||
N | CF | PV=CF/(1.04^N) | ||||||
Year | Cash Flow | Present Value | ||||||
D1 | 1 | 1.1 | 1.057692308 | |||||
D2 | 2 | 1.155 | 1.067862426 | |||||
P2 | 2 | 118.97 | 109.9898299 | |||||
SUM | 112.1153846 | |||||||
P0=Estimated Current Price | $112.12 | |||||||
(b) | Current Price Per Share | $120 | ||||||
Total Value of shares shorted=100*120 | $12,000 | |||||||
Initial Margin Requirement | 50% | |||||||
Amount of initial margin required=50%*12000 | $6,000 | |||||||
Amount to be deposited as initial margin | $6,000 | |||||||
.(c) | If Price goes up to $140, | |||||||
Loss =(140-100)*100 | $4,000 | |||||||
Balance available in margin account=6000-4000 | $2,000 | |||||||
Total value =140*100 | $14,000 | |||||||
Maintenance Margin | 35% | |||||||
Margin Required =14000*35% | $4,900 | |||||||
Available Margin | $2,000 | |||||||
Micah will receive Margin Call | ||||||||
(d) | Minimum amount to be deposited in margin account | $2,900 | (4900-2000) | |||||