In: Finance
After paying $3 million for a feasibility study, Stanley wrote a proposal with the following cash flow estimates for a 25-year capital project.
Equipment cost: $34 million, Shipping costs: $1 million, Installation: $19 million, Salvage: $4, Working capital investment: $2 million, Revenues are expected to increase by $20 million per year and cash operating expenses by $9 million per year.
The firm’s marginal tax rate is 40 percent, its weighted average cost of capital is 9%, and the firm requires a 3 year payback. Assume straight-line depreciation.
Evaluate the project using NPV, IRR, PI, and PB.
Answers:
IO = $56 million
Δ D = $2 million
NCF1-25 = $7.4 million
NCF25 = $6 million
NPV = $17.38 million > 0, so Accept
IRR = 12.60% > 9%, so Accept
PI = 1.31 > 1, so Accept
PB = 7.57 years > 3 so Reject
ACCEPT the project
Please show work and formula while avoiding Excel/spreadsheet programs. Thank you
Solution:
Initial Investment:
Cost of Equipment (in Millions) : 34
Add:Shipping Cost : 1
Add: Installation Cost : 19
Cost of the Project : 54
Add: Working Capital Employed : 2
Initial Investment : 56
Net Annual Cash Flow:
Annual Revenues : 20
Less: Cash Operating Expenses : 9
Annual Profit : 11
Less : Depreciation : 2 Here , Depreciation per year = (Initial Cost - Salvage value)/ Life = (54-4)/25 = 2
Profit before tax : 9
Less : Tax @ 40% : 3.6
Profit after Tax : 5.4
Add: Depreciation :2
Net Annual Cash Flow : 7.4
Terminal Cash Inflow
Working Capital Released : 2
Add: Salvage Value : 4
Terminal Cash Inflow : 6
Payback Period = Initial Investment/Net Annual Cash Flow = 56/7.4 = 7.57 Years
Since Payback period of 7.57 > 3 years i.e. acceptance level. Therefore , according to this we should reject the project.
NPV = Aggregate of PV of cash Inflows - Aggregate of PV of cash Outflows
Year | Cash Flow | PV Factor @ 9% | PV |
0 | -56 | 1 | -56 |
Net Annual Cash Flow (Year 1-25) | 7.4 | 9.823 | 72.6902 |
Terminal Cash Inflow | 6 | 0.116 | 0.696 |
NPV | 17.3862 |
Since NPV is positive, therefore we can accept the project.
Profitability Index (PI) = Aggregate of PV of cash Inflows / Aggregate of PV of cash Outflows
PI = 73.3862/56 = 1.31
PI is greater than 1, we should accept the project.
For IRR Calculation:
Discount Rate | NPV |
12% | 2.3922 |
13% | -1.476 |
IRR is the rate where NPV becomes zero. From calculation we come to know that NPV is negative at 13% and posititve at the discount rate of 12%. Therefore the value of IRR lies in between 12% and 13%.
Lower Discount Rate (LDR) = 12%
Higher Discount Rate (HDR) = 13%
NPV 1(at LDR) = 2.3922
NPV 2 (at HDR) = -1.476
IRR = LDR + (NPV 1 )* (HDR - LDR) / (NPV 1 - NPV 2)
= 12 + (2.3922) *(13-12) / (2.3922 + 1.476)
IRR = 12.61%
IRR is greater than cost of capital i.e. 9%. therefore we should accept the project.