In: Finance
Consider the following rates of return: |
Year |
Large-Company Stocks |
US Treasury Bills | |||
1 | 3.99 | % | 4.59 | % | |
2 | 14.16 | 4.94 | |||
3 | 19.25 | 3.86 | |||
4 | –14.43 | 6.99 | |||
5 | –31.92 | 5.30 | |||
6 | 37.49 | 6.20 | |||
a. |
Calculate the arithmetic average returns for large-company stocks and T-bills over this period. (Do not round intermediate calculations and enter your answers as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.) |
Average returns | |
Large-company stocks | % |
T-bills | % |
b. |
Calculate the standard deviation of the returns for large-company stocks and T-bills over this period. (Do not round intermediate calculations and enter your answers as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.) |
Standard deviation | |
Large-company stocks | % |
T-bills | % |
c-1. |
Calculate the observed risk premium in each year for the large-company stocks versus the T-bills. What was the arithmetic average risk premium over this period? (A negative answer should be indicated by a minus sign. Do not round intermediate calculations and enter your answer as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.) |
Average risk premium | % |
c-2. |
Calculate the observed risk premium in each year for the large-company stocks versus the T-bills. What was the standard deviation of the risk premium over this period? (Do not round intermediate calculations and enter your answer as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.) |
Standard deviation | % |
Solution:
Calculation of the arithmetic average returns for large-company stocks and T-bills:
Year (n) |
Large-Company Stocks |
US Treasury Bills | |
1 | 3.99 % | 4.59% | |
2 | 14.16 % | 4.94% | |
3 | 19.25 % | 3.86% | |
4 | –14.43 % | 6.99% | |
5 | –31.92 % | 5.30% | |
6 | 37.49 % | 6.20% | |
Arithmetic average returns | ![]() |
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= [ 3.99% + 14.16%+ 19.25% + (-14.43%) + (-31.92%) + 37.49%] / 6 | = [4.59% + 4.94% + 3.86% +6.99% +5.30% +6.20%] /6 | ||
4.76% | 5.31% |
The arithmetic average returns for large-company stocks are 4.76% and for T-bills are 5.31%:
Solution b)
Calculate the standard deviation of the returns for large-company stocks and T-bills:
Variance =
Standard Deviation =
For small sample size, we divide by n-1 instead of n
Hence
The variance of the returns for large-company stocks
= (3.99%-4.76%)2 + (14.16%-4.76%)2 + (19.25%-4.76%)2 + (-14.43%-4.76%)2 + (-31.92%-4.76%)2 + (37.49%-4.76%)2] / 6-1
= 616.77(%)2
The Standard Deviation of the returns for large-company stocks =
= 24.83%
The variance of the returns for T-bills
= (5.49%-5.31%)2 + (4.94%-5.31%)2 + (3.86%-5.31%)2 + (6.99%-5.31%)2 + (5.30%-5.31%)2 + (6.20%-5.31%)2] / 6-1
= 1.27(%)2
The Standard Deviation of the returns for T-bills=
= 1.13%
Solution c1)
Calculation of the arithmetic average risk premium
Year |
Large-Company Stocks (%) |
US Treasury Bills (%) |
Risk Premium (%) = Stock Returns - T Bills |
1 | 3.99 | 4.59 | -0.60 |
2 | 14.16 | 4.94 | 9.22 |
3 | 19.25 | 3.86 | 15.39 |
4 | –14.43 | 6.99 | -21.42 |
5 | –31.92 | 5.30 | -37.22 |
6 | 37.49 | 6.20 | 31.29 |
Total Risk Premium | -3.34 |
The arithmetic average risk premium = Total Risk Premium / n = -3.34% / 6 = -0.56%
Solution c2)
Calculate the standard deviation of the risk premium:
Variance =
Standard Deviation =
For small sample size, we divide by n-1 instead of n
Hence
The variance of the risk premium will be
= (-0.60%-(-0.56%))2 + (9.22%-(-0.56%))2 + (15.39%-(-0.56%))2 + (-21.42%-(-0.56%))2 + (-37.22%-(-0.56%))2 + (31.29%-(-0.56%))2] / 6-1
= 628.74(%)2
The Standard Deviation of the returns for large-company stocks =
= 25.07%